Randal Grichuk

DH · RHB · RHP · CHW

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

BOS

Starter

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

Stadium

Fenway Park

Model HR%

16.3%

Model Hits%

69.8%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+8.8% edgemodel 70% · grade S

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	70%	+8.8%	50%	LEAN
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	16%	+3.2%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Randal Grichuk, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	0-2	0%	-100.0%
A	1-1	50%	-20.1%
B	—	—	—

Combined 1-3 · n=4 · ROI -60.0% · avg CLV -0.2 pts · beat close 33%

Matchup

Randal Grichuk (RHB) vs Ranger Suarez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Ranger Suarez LHP · season · 100.5 IP · 432 BF

BAA

.242

wOBA

.289

SLG

.349

ISO

.107

WHIP

1.27

HR/9

0.63

BB%

7.2%

25.2%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.7%

HH%

33.1%

FB%

28.0%

HR/FB%

10.4%

Randal Grichuk hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	44-180	.244	.494	.250	10	5.3%	23.3%
vs LHP	31-114	.272	.544	.272	7	7.3%	25.4%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.6

Our model70% OVER+8.8% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA1.9

Plate Appearancesavg 1.9

Hitsavg 0.6

Singlesavg 0.3

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 0.9

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.4

Walksavg 0.1

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	8%	—	+410	-1.4	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	70%	+8.8%	-156	-1.9	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	B	30%	+3.4%	+280	-1.5	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	6%	-0.2%	+1400	-1.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	B	16%	+3.2%	+667	-0.9	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	11%	—	+245	-2.4	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	8%	—	+550	+1.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	55%	—	+120	-1.1	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	14%	—	+700	-2.9	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	35%	—	+160	-1.1	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=190 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-04

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	44-180	.244	.494	.250	13	1	10	10	23.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	31-114	.272	.544	.272	10	0	7	9	25.4%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	13-66	.197	.409	.212	3	1	3	1	19.7%
Last 15 days recent form	6-18	.333	.500	.167	3	0	0	1	22.2%
vs Ranger Suarez tonight's starting pitcher	2-5	.400	.600	.200	1	0	0	1	0.0%
vs BOS tonight's opponent (full roster)	6-43	.140	.209	.070	3	0	0	2	27.9%
@ Fenway Park tonight's stadium	170-680	.250	.500	.250	170	0	0	0	0.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.314

wOBA0.306

delta−0.008 due

n=190 PA

Spray chart

361 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play361

HR rate5.3%

Hard-hit (95+)52%

Avg exit velo92.4 mph

Ground ball40%

Line drive22%

Fly ball29%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-05	1	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K
2026-08-04	4	1	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B
2026-08-01	2	1	0	0	1	1-for-2 · 1 K
2026-07-30	3	2	1	1	0	2-for-2 · 1 2B · 1 BB
2026-07-29	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-28	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-27	3	1	1	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-26	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-1
2026-07-25	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-24	2	0	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Randal Grichuk across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.