← BACK TO SLATE
Francisco Lindor
SS · SHB · NYM
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.0
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 2.1
Home Runsavg 0.3
Strikeoutsavg 0.6
Walksavg 0.3
Splits
Career n=2,388 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-07-03
xStats luck
xwOBA0.343
wOBA0.341
delta−0.002 due
n=155 PA
Spray chart
650 balls in play since 2025Balls in play650
HR rate5.4%
Hard-hit (95+)47%
Avg exit velo91.3 mph
Ground ball39%
Line drive25%
Fly ball29%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+50.9%significant
n=371 games · 20/84 HR when active
+45.0%significant
n=370 games · 17/73 HR when active
-28.6%significant
n=352 games · 7/64 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-06-30
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
1.57× HR rate
169 yes / 198 no · 61 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
1.51× HR rate
84 yes / 287 no · 61 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+45%
73 yes / 297 no · 60 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+38%
92 yes / 281 no · 61 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
−31%
296 yes / 77 no · 61 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−29%
64 yes / 288 no · 59 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
+27%
50 yes / 320 no · 61 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+21%
202 yes / 155 no · 58 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
−21%
51 yes / 323 no · 61 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
+21%
265 yes / 109 no · 61 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
+20%
241 yes / 129 no · 60 HRs
// 17 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
−17%
48 yes / 322 no · 60 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
+13%
170 yes / 203 no · 61 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+13%
99 yes / 275 no · 61 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
−13%
46 yes / 266 no · 49 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
+11%
124 yes / 250 no · 61 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−10%
3 yes / 371 no · 61 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
−10%
152 yes / 217 no · 60 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
−8%
9 yes / 361 no · 61 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+7%
158 yes / 216 no · 61 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−7%
15 yes / 358 no · 61 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+6%
45 yes / 328 no · 61 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 373 no · 61 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
neutral
223 yes / 150 no · 61 HRs
Playing at home
neutral
190 yes / 184 no · 61 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 370 no · 60 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Francisco Lindor across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.