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Teoscar Hernández
LF · RHB · RHP · LAD
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.7Plate Appearancesavg 3.7
Hitsavg 0.4
Singlesavg 0.3
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.7
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 1.1
Walksavg 0.4
Splits
Career n=261 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-08
xStats luck
xwOBA0.308
wOBA0.323
delta+0.015 hot
n=260 PA
Spray chart
601 balls in play since 2025Balls in play601
HR rate7.0%
Hard-hit (95+)47%
Avg exit velo90.3 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive22%
Fly ball29%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+55.7%significant
n=402 games · 19/80 HR when active
+52.1%significant
n=402 games · 19/82 HR when active
+50.9%small sample
n=407 games · 4/8 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-07-07
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
1.56× HR rate
80 yes / 322 no · 63 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
1.52× HR rate
82 yes / 320 no · 63 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+37%
90 yes / 314 no · 64 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+30%
50 yes / 356 no · 65 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−29%
61 yes / 312 no · 58 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−28%
111 yes / 295 no · 65 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
+26%
137 yes / 270 no · 65 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
−26%
49 yes / 325 no · 59 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
+25%
47 yes / 360 no · 65 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
+23%
189 yes / 218 no · 65 HRs
// 18 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
1.51× HR rate
8 yes / 399 no · 65 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
−20%
192 yes / 202 no · 59 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
−18%
199 yes / 205 no · 64 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
+14%
174 yes / 222 no · 63 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+11%
303 yes / 104 no · 65 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
+11%
20 yes / 386 no · 65 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
+11%
48 yes / 300 no · 51 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+9%
79 yes / 184 no · 40 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−9%
294 yes / 107 no · 62 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
−9%
65 yes / 336 no · 62 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
1 yes / 400 no · 62 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
neutral
304 yes / 102 no · 65 HRs
Playing at home
neutral
212 yes / 195 no · 65 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
neutral
150 yes / 257 no · 65 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
neutral
204 yes / 198 no · 65 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
neutral
0 yes / 374 no · 59 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 407 no · 65 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Teoscar Hernández across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.