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José Ramírez
3B · SHB · RHP · CLE
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on José Ramírez, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 3-0 | 100% | +48.7% |
| A | 1-1 | 50% | -25.5% |
| B | 1-2 | 33% | +13.3% |
Combined 5-3 · n=8 · ROI +16.9% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.6Plate Appearancesavg 4.6
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.8
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.8
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.2
Walksavg 0.5
Splits
Career n=376 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.339
wOBA0.334
delta−0.005 due
n=375 PA
Spray chart
825 balls in play since 2025Balls in play825
HR rate5.3%
Hard-hit (95+)38%
Avg exit velo88.7 mph
Ground ball33%
Line drive25%
Fly ball30%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+25.0%significant
n=437 games · 8/38 HR when active
-18.8%small sample
n=434 games · 10/84 HR when active
+22.2%significant
n=415 games · 13/69 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-08-04
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
3rd time through order vs starter
−34%
278 yes / 159 no · 67 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
+29%
328 yes / 109 no · 67 HRs
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
−29%
20 yes / 400 no · 64 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
+25%
38 yes / 399 no · 67 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
+22%
69 yes / 346 no · 63 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−21%
136 yes / 301 no · 67 HRs
// 22 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+19%
83 yes / 352 no · 66 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
−19%
84 yes / 350 no · 65 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
−18%
6 yes / 431 no · 67 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
−17%
181 yes / 249 no · 65 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
−17%
36 yes / 400 no · 67 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+16%
230 yes / 192 no · 63 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−15%
20 yes / 416 no · 67 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
−12%
209 yes / 223 no · 67 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−8%
322 yes / 112 no · 65 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+7%
87 yes / 347 no · 65 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+7%
174 yes / 263 no · 67 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−7%
282 yes / 154 no · 67 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
neutral
81 yes / 356 no · 67 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 436 no · 67 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
neutral
341 yes / 95 no · 67 HRs
Playing at home
neutral
231 yes / 206 no · 67 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
neutral
197 yes / 240 no · 67 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
neutral
65 yes / 355 no · 64 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
neutral
68 yes / 303 no · 55 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 434 no · 65 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to José Ramírez across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.