Tyler Heineman

C · SHB · RHP · LAA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

ATH

Starter

Aaron Civale (RHP)

Stadium

Angel Stadium

Model HR%

7.0%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs OVER 0.5+1.4% edgemodel 7% · grade PASS

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	7%	+1.4%	10%	CAUTION

Matchup

Tyler Heineman (SHB) vs Aaron Civale RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Aaron Civale RHP · season · 71.2 IP · 306 BF

BAA

.288

wOBA

.366

SLG

.491

ISO

.203

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

1.64

BB%

6.9%

18.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

5.3%

HH%

49.1%

FB%

46.8%

HR/FB%

16.3%

Tyler Heineman hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	72-314	.229	.318	.089	4	10.5%	21.3%
vs RHP	45-226	.199	.283	.084	3	10.7%	22.6%

Pitch-type matchup

Aaron Civale's arsenal × how Tyler Heineman hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Aaron Civale throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Cutter	35%	88.6	20%	.353
Curveball	21%	77.4	26%	.362
Sinker	17%	91.8	11%	.385
Four-Seam	15%	91.9	15%	.428
Slider	6%	83.1	20%	.391
Splitter	6%	84.9	14%	.292
Sweeper	0%	80.7	0%	.000

Tyler Heineman vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Cutter	64	6%	.168	79.6
Curveball	65	26%	.203	75.1
Sinker	102	12%	.288	78.7
Four-Seam	324	11%	.292	85.0
Slider	96	25%	.370	79.9
Splitter	55	38%	.104	78.7
Sweeper	43	33%	.430	82.4

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

30%3/10 · L10 · avg 0.5

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.1

Plate Appearancesavg 3.1

Hitsavg 0.5

Singlesavg 0.2

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.0

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.6

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-06-28 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	7%	+1.4%	+1699	-0.1	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=351 PA · 2023-04-04 → 2026-06-24

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	72-314	.229	.318	.089	12	2	4	37	21.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	27-88	.307	.409	.102	4	1	1	10	18.2%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	45-226	.199	.283	.084	8	1	3	27	22.6%
Last 15 days recent form	2-6	.333	.500	.167	1	0	0	1	16.7%
@ Angel Stadium tonight's stadium	0-522	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	0	33.3%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.228

wOBA0.236

delta+0.008 hot

n=100 PA

Spray chart

207 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play207

HR rate1.9%

Hard-hit (95+)13%

Avg exit velo78.5 mph

Ground ball44%

Line drive19%

Fly ball25%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-06-24	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-06-20	4	2	1	0	1	0	2-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-06-08	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-2
2026-06-04	5	2	1	0	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-05-30	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-05-27	3	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-2 · 1 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-05-23	3	1	0	1	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-05-19	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-05-16	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-2
2026-05-13	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-2

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Tyler Heineman across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.