Weston Wilson

3B · RHB · RHP · SEA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

BOS

Starter

Payton Tolle (LHP)

Stadium

Fenway Park

Model HR%

18.1%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Weston Wilson, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	3-0	100%	+64.4%
A	—	—	—
B	0-2	0%	-100.0%

Combined 3-2 · n=5 · ROI -1.3% · avg CLV +0.5 pts · beat close 100%

Matchup

Weston Wilson (RHB) vs Payton Tolle LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Payton Tolle LHP · season · 121.4 IP · 522 BF

BAA

.215

wOBA

.262

SLG

.362

ISO

.147

WHIP

1.18

HR/9

1.04

BB%

7.5%

28.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.6%

HH%

34.3%

FB%

42.5%

HR/FB%

10.8%

Weston Wilson hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	76-356	.213	.374	.160	13	11.9%	32.6%
vs LHP	45-208	.216	.399	.183	9	12.2%	32.7%

Pitch-type matchup

Payton Tolle's arsenal × how Weston Wilson hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Payton Tolle throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	52%	96.4	25%	.291
TOPCutter	16%	89.1	23%	.291
Sinker	15%	95.1	12%	.411
Curveball	9%	82.5	43%	.366
Changeup	5%	89.3	35%	.365
Slider	3%	88.6	33%	.332

Weston Wilson vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	230	20%	.481	89.4
TOPCutter	60	24%	.402	80.8
Sinker	89	18%	.308	89.5
Curveball	64	18%	.455	92.0
Changeup	131	43%	.262	87.6
Slider	109	37%	.458	89.4

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

30%3/10 · L10 · avg 0.4

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.1

Plate Appearancesavg 3.1

Hitsavg 0.4

Singlesavg 0.2

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 0.8

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 1.1

Walksavg 0.5

Tonight's lines

2026-08-31 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	82%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=404 PA · 2023-08-09 → 2026-08-26

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	76-356	.213	.374	.160	16	1	13	48	32.6%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	45-208	.216	.399	.183	9	1	9	29	32.7%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	31-148	.209	.338	.128	7	0	4	19	32.4%
Last 15 days recent form	3-19	.158	.211	.053	1	0	0	2	47.4%
vs BOS tonight's opponent (full roster)	1-8	.125	.125	.000	0	0	0	1	12.5%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.267

wOBA0.278

delta+0.011 hot

n=143 PA

Spray chart

159 balls in play since 2025· wind 6 mph cross-wind

Balls in play159

HR rate5.7%

Hard-hit (95+)35%

Avg exit velo85.5 mph

Ground ball45%

Line drive21%

Fly ball27%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-26	3	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-3 · 2 K
2026-08-24	4	0	0	0	0	3	0-for-4 · 3 K
2026-08-23	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-08-22	4	2	1	0	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 2 R · 1 K
2026-08-20	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K
2026-08-18	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K
2026-08-16	4	0	0	0	2	0	0-for-2 · 2 BB
2026-08-13	3	1	0	1	1	0	1-for-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-08-11	3	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-08-09	4	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Weston Wilson across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.