Luis Arraez

2B · LHB · RHP · PHI

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

TOR

Starter

José Soriano (RHP)

Stadium

Citizens Bank Park

Model HR%

2.6%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Luis Arraez, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	4-0	100%	+92.3%
A	3-3	50%	+23.5%
B	1-1	50%	-38.9%

Combined 8-4 · n=12 · ROI +36.1% · avg CLV +0.4 pts · beat close 100%

Matchup

Luis Arraez (LHB) vs José Soriano RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

José Soriano RHP · season · 121.6 IP · 523 BF

BAA

.213

wOBA

.328

SLG

.314

ISO

.100

WHIP

1.33

HR/9

0.89

BB%

12.2%

24.9%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.5%

HH%

39.4%

FB%

22.4%

HR/FB%

19.4%

Luis Arraez hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	141-452	.312	.429	.117	5	6.0%	4.6%
vs RHP	100-315	.317	.435	.117	4	6.8%	2.9%

Pitch-type matchup

José Soriano's arsenal × how Luis Arraez hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

José Soriano throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Sinker	44%	97.1	16%	.335
TOPKnuckle Curve	25%	85.3	41%	.362
Four-Seam	13%	97.8	23%	.418
Splitter	11%	92.4	41%	.323
Slider	6%	89.4	36%	.452
Changeup	0%	86.9	33%	—

Luis Arraez vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Sinker	643	3%	.269	84.7
TOPKnuckle Curve	39	20%	.527	88.0
Four-Seam	1378	5%	.300	85.4
Splitter	71	5%	.316	85.1
Slider	373	10%	.246	82.7
Changeup	259	7%	.268	85.7

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.4

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.4

Plate Appearancesavg 4.4

Hitsavg 1.4

Singlesavg 1.0

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 2.0

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.2

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-08-07 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	97%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=481 PA · 2026-03-20 → 2026-08-05

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	141-452	.312	.429	.117	24	7	5	29	4.6%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	41-137	.299	.416	.117	7	3	1	6	8.8%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	100-315	.317	.435	.117	17	4	4	23	2.9%
Last 15 days recent form	17-49	.347	.449	.102	2	0	1	1	6.1%
vs José Soriano tonight's starting pitcher	4-9	.444	.556	.111	1	0	0	0	0.0%
vs TOR tonight's opponent (full roster)	18-59	.305	.356	.051	3	0	0	2	3.4%
@ Citizens Bank Park tonight's stadium	592-2032	.291	.698	.406	190	0	212	0	0.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.302

wOBA0.327

delta+0.025 hot

n=480 PA

Spray chart

1071 balls in play since 2025· wind 2 mph blowing out

Balls in play1071

HR rate1.2%

Hard-hit (95+)20%

Avg exit velo85.8 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive28%

Fly ball25%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	K	Outcomes
2026-08-06	4	2	1	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 RBI
2026-08-05	5	1	0	1	0	1-for-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R
2026-08-04	4	2	1	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-08-02	5	0	0	0	0	0-for-5
2026-07-31	3	1	0	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 K
2026-07-30	5	0	0	0	0	0-for-5
2026-07-29	5	4	0	0	0	4-for-5 · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 R
2026-07-27	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 SB · 1 K
2026-07-26	5	2	1	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 2 RBI

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Luis Arraez across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.