Gleyber Torres

2B · RHB · RHP · DET

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

SEA

Starter

Bryce Miller (RHP)

Stadium

T-Mobile Park

Model HR%

10.9%

Model Hits%

70.5%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+10.1% edgemodel 70% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (41% usage, .459 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	70%	+10.1%	60%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	11%	+1.8%	30%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Gleyber Torres, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	1-0	100%	+57.1%
A	—	—	—
B	0-2	0%	-100.0%

Combined 1-2 · n=3 · ROI -47.6% · avg CLV +0.3 pts · beat close 67%

Matchup

Gleyber Torres (RHB) vs Bryce Miller RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Bryce Miller RHP · season · 66.0 IP · 284 BF

BAA

.204

wOBA

.259

SLG

.370

ISO

.167

WHIP

1.04

HR/9

1.64

BB%

4.9%

26.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

32.3%

FB%

43.0%

HR/FB%

15.0%

Gleyber Torres hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	59-219	.269	.411	.142	7	16.1%	24.2%
vs RHP	52-164	.317	.463	.146	6	12.3%	23.2%

Pitch-type matchup

Bryce Miller's arsenal × how Gleyber Torres hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Bryce Miller throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	41%	95.2	18%	.406
TOPSplitter	19%	84.3	27%	.365
TOPSinker	15%	94.7	6%	.381
Slider	10%	86.6	36%	.368
Knuckle Curve	9%	83.5	28%	.430
Sweeper	5%	83.3	21%	.300
Cutter	1%	90.3	38%	.106
Pitchout	0%	91.7	—	—

Gleyber Torres vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	1070	18%	.459	94.7
TOPSplitter	60	19%	.372	89.4
TOPSinker	579	8%	.354	91.4
Slider	577	25%	.312	84.7
Knuckle Curve	23	33%	.105	65.4
Sweeper	373	19%	.312	81.6
Cutter	335	20%	.379	84.9
Pitchout	no sample

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model70% OVER+10.1% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.6

Plate Appearancesavg 4.6

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.3

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.9

Home Runsavg 0.3

Strikeoutsavg 1.1

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	9%	—	+525	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	70%	+10.1%	-152	-0.3	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	27%	+0.8%	+280	+1.3	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	6%	-1.0%	+1400	-1.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	11%	+1.8%	+997	+0.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	7%	—	+309	+0.2	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	5%	—	+800	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	55%	—	+109	-0.9	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	14%	—	+475	+0.7	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	33%	—	+171	+0.4	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=261 PA · 2026-03-20 → 2026-08-04

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	59-219	.269	.411	.142	10	7	42	24.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	7-55	.127	.255	.127	4	1	19	27.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	52-164	.317	.463	.146	6	6	23	23.2%
Last 15 days recent form	9-42	.214	.476	.262	2	3	8	28.6%
vs Bryce Miller tonight's starting pitcher	3-13	.231	.231	.000	0	0	0	46.2%
vs SEA tonight's opponent (full roster)	27-87	.310	.448	.138	6	2	7	26.4%
@ T-Mobile Park tonight's stadium	9-45	.200	.800	.600	0	9	0	20.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.323

wOBA0.327

delta+0.004 hot

n=259 PA

Spray chart

641 balls in play since 2025· wind 7 mph blowing in

Balls in play641

HR rate3.7%

Hard-hit (95+)39%

Avg exit velo89.9 mph

Ground ball40%

Line drive26%

Fly ball30%

What kind of arm does he crush?

top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|

Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)

-17.7%small sample

n=341 games · 17/154 HR when active

Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)

+0.0%small sample

n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active

Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)

+0.0%small sample

n=0 games · 0/0 HR when active

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature· refreshed 2026-05-21

// TONIGHT

2 / 2HELPING · IN PLAY

Leaning favorable

// IN PLAY TONIGHT

+26% HR rate when no rest day (b2b or doubleheader).
+25% HR rate when summer game (jun-aug).

helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight

Playing at home

1.71× HR rate

170 yes / 172 no · 43 HRs

HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)

1.64× HR rate

133 yes / 208 no · 43 HRs

No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)tonight

+26%

258 yes / 83 no · 42 HRs

Summer game (Jun-Aug)tonight

+25%

153 yes / 189 no · 43 HRs

Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)

−21%

99 yes / 243 no · 43 HRs

// 7 more factors — small sample / no significant lift

Rested (2+ days off)

−19%

16 yes / 325 no · 42 HRs

Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)

−18%

154 yes / 187 no · 43 HRs

HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)

−9%

120 yes / 221 no · 43 HRs

Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)

neutral

0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs

Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)

neutral

0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs

Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)

neutral

0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs

Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)

neutral

0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs

// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-05	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 R · 1 K
2026-08-04	5	1	0	1	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 1 K
2026-08-02	6	1	0	0	4	0	1-for-2 · 2 RBI · 3 R · 4 BB
2026-08-01	5	2	0	1	0	2	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 2 R · 2 K
2026-07-31	6	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-5 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-29	5	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 K
2026-07-28	5	2	1	1	0	2	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 5 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-07-27	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K
2026-07-26	5	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-5 · 2 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 BB

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Gleyber Torres across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.