Willi Castro

2B · SHB · RHP

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

12.3%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Willi Castro, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	1-2	33%	-13.3%
A	3-1	75%	+15.3%
B	0-2	0%	-100.0%

Combined 4-5 · n=9 · ROI -19.9% · avg CLV +0.2 pts · beat close 100%

Matchup

Willi Castro (SHB) vs Freddy Peralta RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Freddy Peralta RHP · season · 119.3 IP · 513 BF

BAA

.261

wOBA

.302

SLG

.444

ISO

.183

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

1.28

BB%

10.3%

22.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.0%

HH%

37.6%

FB%

33.2%

HR/FB%

17.3%

Willi Castro hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	423-1732	.244	.386	.142	45	11.0%	28.0%
vs RHP	293-1221	.240	.387	.147	33	12.3%	28.9%

Pitch-type matchup

Freddy Peralta's arsenal × how Willi Castro hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Freddy Peralta throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	53%	94.5	20%	.388
Changeup	21%	88.5	30%	.296
Curveball	12%	79.5	31%	.334
Slider	10%	83.5	48%	.337
Slow Curve	2%	74.8	38%	.363
Sweeper	1%	80.2	54%	.067

Willi Castro vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	1067	22%	.375	89.4
Changeup	333	36%	.314	85.5
Curveball	196	32%	.262	83.4
Slider	245	34%	.371	84.9
Slow Curve	no sample
Sweeper	91	21%	.273	84.3

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.0

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 1.0

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 2.2

Home Runsavg 0.3

Strikeoutsavg 1.2

Walksavg 0.4

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	88%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=1,946 PA · 2023-04-03 → 2026-08-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	423-1732	.244	.386	.142	85	13	45	214	28.0%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	130-511	.254	.384	.129	26	2	12	42	25.8%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	293-1221	.240	.387	.147	59	11	33	172	28.9%
Last 15 days recent form	9-35	.257	.571	.314	2	0	3	6	31.4%
vs Freddy Peralta tonight's starting pitcher	0-5	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	0	60.0%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	1711-5158	.332	.460	.129	36	0	209	362	23.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.279

wOBA0.306

delta+0.027 hot

n=394 PA

Spray chart

537 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph blowing in

Balls in play537

HR rate4.3%

Hard-hit (95+)38%

Avg exit velo87.1 mph

Ground ball38%

Line drive25%

Fly ball30%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-03	5	2	0	1	0	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 3B · 1 K
2026-08-02	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-08-01	5	2	0	0	1	1	2	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-07-29	4	1	0	0	0	0	3	1-for-4 · 1 R · 3 K
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	1	2	1	1-for-2 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-07-26	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-24	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 R · 1 SB
2026-07-22	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-21	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Willi Castro across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.