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Nico Hoerner
2B · RHB · RHP · CHC
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 1.5+0.3% edgemodel 32% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Knuckle Curve (15% usage, .581 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Nico Hoerner, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 4-3 | 57% | +48.4% |
| A | 0-1 | 0% | -100.0% |
| B | 3-4 | 43% | -34.6% |
Combined 7-8 · n=15 · ROI -0.2% · avg CLV +1.4 pts · beat close 83%
Matchup
Nico Hoerner (RHB) vs Andre Pallante RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Andre Pallante's arsenal × how Nico Hoerner hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3Plate Appearancesavg 4.3
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.5
Total Basesavg 1.6
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.4
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-07-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=405 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-01
xStats luck
xwOBA0.327
wOBA0.322
delta−0.005 due
n=402 PA
Spray chart
921 balls in play since 2025Balls in play921
HR rate1.4%
Hard-hit (95+)30%
Avg exit velo86.5 mph
Ground ball43%
Line drive27%
Fly ball23%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Nico Hoerner across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.