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Jake Mangum
CF · SHB · LHP · PIT
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits UNDER 0.5+6.2% edgemodel 39% · grade A
Why: struggles vs the Sinker (18% usage, .248 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Jake Mangum, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 10-9 | 53% | -0.6% |
| A | 6-3 | 67% | +40.8% |
| B | 7-4 | 64% | +59.6% |
Combined 23-16 · n=39 · ROI +26.0% · avg CLV -0.3 pts · beat close 42%
Matchup
Jake Mangum (SHB) vs Sonny Gray RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Sonny Gray's arsenal × how Jake Mangum hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2Plate Appearancesavg 4.2
Hitsavg 1.2
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.4
Total Basesavg 2.1
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.2
Tonight's lines
2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=832 PA · 2024-03-15 → 2026-08-13
xStats luck
xwOBA0.273
wOBA0.325
delta+0.052 hot
n=379 PA
Spray chart
631 balls in play since 2025· wind 0 mph cross-windBalls in play631
HR rate1.4%
Hard-hit (95+)32%
Avg exit velo85.8 mph
Ground ball60%
Line drive21%
Fly ball15%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Jake Mangum across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.