Jake McCarthy

CF · LHB · LHP

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

8.1%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Jake McCarthy, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	3-0	100%	+69.5%
A	1-3	25%	-57.8%
B	2-3	40%	-7.6%

Combined 6-6 · n=12 · ROI -5.1% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Jake McCarthy (LHB) vs Freddy Peralta RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Freddy Peralta RHP · season · 119.3 IP · 513 BF

BAA

.261

wOBA

.302

SLG

.444

ISO

.183

WHIP

1.45

HR/9

1.28

BB%

10.3%

22.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.0%

HH%

37.6%

FB%

33.2%

HR/FB%

17.3%

Jake McCarthy hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	354-1355	.261	.394	.133	25	7.8%	19.1%
vs RHP	260-1010	.257	.394	.137	21	7.8%	19.3%

Pitch-type matchup

Freddy Peralta's arsenal × how Jake McCarthy hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Freddy Peralta throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	53%	94.5	20%	.388
TOPChangeup	21%	88.5	30%	.296
Curveball	12%	79.5	31%	.334
Slider	10%	83.5	48%	.337
Slow Curve	2%	74.8	38%	.363
Sweeper	1%	80.2	54%	.067

Jake McCarthy vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	488	11%	.363	81.4
TOPChangeup	169	28%	.403	82.0
Curveball	154	27%	.278	82.6
Slider	150	36%	.210	76.2
Slow Curve	no sample
Sweeper	114	19%	.205	80.5

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.7

Plate Appearancesavg 4.7

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.3

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 1.6

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 1.0

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	92%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=1,469 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-08-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	354-1355	.261	.394	.133	53	26	25	114	19.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	94-345	.272	.394	.122	10	10	4	29	18.6%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	260-1010	.257	.394	.137	43	16	21	85	19.3%
Last 15 days recent form	11-51	.216	.373	.157	3	1	1	0	23.5%
vs Freddy Peralta tonight's starting pitcher	2-10	.200	.400	.200	2	0	0	3	20.0%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	2028-6699	.303	.560	.257	405	170	326	195	21.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.284

wOBA0.337

delta+0.053 hot

n=395 PA

Spray chart

486 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph blowing in

Balls in play486

HR rate2.9%

Hard-hit (95+)25%

Avg exit velo81.6 mph

Ground ball49%

Line drive23%

Fly ball22%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	K	Outcomes
2026-08-03	5	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-08-02	5	1	0	0	1	0	1-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R
2026-08-01	5	2	1	0	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 2 R · 1 K
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-29	4	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-07-28	5	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-26	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-25	5	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-07-24	5	1	0	1	0	2	1-for-5 · 1 3B · 1 R · 2 K
2026-07-22	5	1	1	0	0	2	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Jake McCarthy across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.