← BACK TO SLATE Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5 +1.7% edge model 69% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (28% usage, .361 xwOBA).
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits OVER 0.5 69% +1.7% 50% LEAN Home Runs OVER 0.5 18% +0.5% 10% CAUTION
Our track record settled S/A/B picks on Kody Clemens, by confidence tier Tier Record Hit rate ROI S 5-2 71% +17.1% A 9-5 64% +45.5% B 2-0 100% +135.9%
Combined 16-7 · n=23 · ROI +44.7% · avg CLV -6.3 pts · beat close 40%
Matchup Kody Clemens (LHB) vs Michael Wacha RHP favors batter favors pitcher Michael Wacha RHP · season · 140.0 IP · 602 BF
Kody Clemens hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 90-386 .233 .472 .238 20 7.2% 23.8% vs RHP 69-296 .233 .463 .230 14 7.2% 23.6%
Pitch-type matchup Michael Wacha's arsenal × how Kody Clemens hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Michael Wacha throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA TOP Four-Seam28% 93.0 16% .389 TOP Changeup24% 80.0 28% .297 TOP Cutter15% 88.4 15% .372 TOP Sinker14% 93.1 11% .396 Slider 11% 84.8 28% .372 Curveball 8% 75.4 31% .344
Kody Clemens vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV TOP Four-Seam881 21% .361 92.9 TOP Changeup240 27% .401 90.1 TOP Cutter165 18% .642 96.6 TOP Sinker271 16% .413 89.6 Slider 254 26% .518 92.2 Curveball 193 30% .337 86.2
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits50% Total Bases30% Home Runs10% Singles30% Doubles10% Triples10% Strikeouts50% Walks20% RBIs20% Runs Scored50% Hits + Runs + RBIs60% Stolen Bases10%
50% 5/10 · L10 · avg 0.7
Our model 69% OVER +1.7% edge PASS
0 vOAK 07-25 3 vOAK 07-26 1 vKCR 07-28 1 vKCR 07-29 1 vKCR 07-30 0 @SEA 07-31 0 @SEA 08-01 1 @SEA 08-02 0 @KCR 08-04 0 @KCR 08-05
L5 20% 1/5 L10 50% 5/10 L20 45% 9/20 2026 58% 67/115 2025 48% 57/120
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 4.2 Plate Appearances avg 4.2
4 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 Total Bases avg 1.5
0 7 2 1 4 0 0 1 0 0 Home Runs avg 0.1
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.7
1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 2
Tonight's lines 2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't Hits OVER 0.5-204 Hits OVER 1.5+260 Hits OVER 2.5+900 Home Runs OVER 0.5+466
Price legs
Splits Career n=416 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-04
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
90-386 .233 .472 .238 20 6 20 30 23.8% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
21-90 .233 .500 .267 2 2 6 7 24.4% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
69-296 .233 .463 .230 18 4 14 23 23.6% Last 15 days
recent form
9-45 .200 .400 .200 2 2 1 3 15.6% vs Michael Wacha
tonight's starting pitcher
3-7 .429 1.000 .571 1 0 1 2 0.0% @ Kauffman Stadium
tonight's stadium
0-768 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 25.0%
xStats luck
xwOBA 0.305
wOBA 0.309
delta +0.004 hot
n=416 PA
Spray chart 571 balls in play since 2025 1B 2B 3B HR OUTAll vLHP vRHP
Match Michael Wacha's mix Balls in play 571
HR rate 6.8%
Hard-hit (95+) 49%
Avg exit velo 92.6 mph
Ground ball 37%
Line drive 23%
Fly ball 33%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-08-05 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 0-for-4 · 2 K 2026-08-04 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 K 2026-08-02 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-5 · 1 R 2026-08-01 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K 2026-07-31 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-for-4 2026-07-30 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 1-for-4 · 1 HR · 4 RBI · 1 R · 1 K 2026-07-29 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-4 2026-07-28 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R 2026-07-26 5 3 0 2 0 0 0 3-for-5 · 2 3B · 1 RBI · 2 R 2026-07-25 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 0-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Kody Clemens across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.