Jeremy Peña

SS · RHB · RHP · HOU

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

ATL

Starter

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

Stadium

Daikin Park

Model HR%

16.0%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Jeremy Peña, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	7-2	78%	+71.7%
A	6-2	75%	+11.6%
B	3-6	33%	-33.3%

Combined 16-10 · n=26 · ROI +16.9% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Jeremy Peña (RHB) vs Tyler Mahle RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Tyler Mahle RHP · season · 136.0 IP · 585 BF

BAA

.241

wOBA

.311

SLG

.388

ISO

.147

WHIP

1.29

HR/9

1.19

BB%

7.9%

22.7%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.3%

HH%

37.6%

FB%

32.5%

HR/FB%

15.8%

Jeremy Peña hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	112-407	.275	.467	.192	19	7.3%	25.1%
vs RHP	88-316	.278	.491	.212	17	7.1%	24.7%

Pitch-type matchup

Tyler Mahle's arsenal × how Jeremy Peña hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Tyler Mahle throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	49%	92.1	20%	.411
TOPSplitter	27%	84.5	24%	.347
Cutter	13%	86.6	15%	.321
Slider	10%	83.8	20%	.371
Sinker	1%	91.9	14%	.259

Jeremy Peña vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	449	13%	.483	91.4
TOPSplitter	73	55%	.364	87.9
Cutter	197	24%	.318	82.5
Slider	399	32%	.285	85.7
Sinker	428	8%	.371	90.9

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 1.3

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 1.3

Singlesavg 0.7

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 2.5

Home Runsavg 0.3

Strikeoutsavg 1.3

Walksavg 0.1

Tonight's lines

2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	84%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=439 PA · 2026-03-27 → 2026-09-16

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	112-407	.275	.467	.192	19	1	19	32	25.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	24-91	.264	.385	.121	5	0	2	8	26.4%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	88-316	.278	.491	.212	14	1	17	24	24.7%
Last 15 days recent form	12-48	.250	.438	.188	3	0	2	2	35.4%
vs Tyler Mahle tonight's starting pitcher	1-7	.143	.143	.000	0	0	0	1	28.6%
vs ATL tonight's opponent (full roster)	11-42	.262	.405	.143	6	0	0	5	19.0%
@ Daikin Park tonight's stadium	2800-11695	.239	.479	.240	634	194	593	581	29.1%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.325

wOBA0.344

delta+0.019 hot

n=439 PA

Spray chart

725 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph cross-wind

Balls in play725

HR rate5.2%

Hard-hit (95+)43%

Avg exit velo88.7 mph

Ground ball46%

Line drive24%

Fly ball25%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-17	5	2	0	1	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-16	4	3	1	0	0	0	3-for-4 · 1 2B
2026-09-15	4	3	0	2	0	1	3-for-4 · 2 HR · 2 RBI · 3 R · 1 K
2026-09-13	2	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K
2026-09-12	4	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-11	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-10	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-09	5	2	1	0	0	2	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-08	5	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-06	5	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-5 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Jeremy Peña across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.