Leody Taveras

CF · SHB · RHP · BAL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

PHI

Starter

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

8.8%

Model Hits%

65.4%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+15.2% edgemodel 65% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Sinker (17% usage, .430 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	65%	+15.2%	30%	CAUTION
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	9%	+2.2%	10%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Leody Taveras, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	4-11	27%	-53.3%
A	1-4	20%	-48.2%
B	4-6	40%	+240.5%

Combined 9-21 · n=30 · ROI +45.5% · avg CLV -2.3 pts · beat close 47%

Matchup

Leody Taveras (SHB) vs Zack Wheeler RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Zack Wheeler RHP · season · 92.1 IP · 396 BF

BAA

.194

wOBA

.254

SLG

.342

ISO

.148

WHIP

1.05

HR/9

1.27

BB%

6.3%

31.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.2%

HH%

36.6%

FB%

35.3%

HR/FB%

16.7%

Leody Taveras hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	67-314	.213	.334	.121	6	10.3%	28.7%
vs RHP	50-215	.233	.391	.158	5	10.4%	26.5%

Pitch-type matchup

Zack Wheeler's arsenal × how Leody Taveras hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Zack Wheeler throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Four-Seam	40%	95.8	26%	.349
TOPSinker	17%	95.2	11%	.327
Sweeper	14%	83.3	38%	.377
Splitter	10%	87.0	36%	.324
Cutter	10%	91.6	18%	.297
Curveball	9%	80.9	47%	.305

Leody Taveras vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Four-Seam	537	21%	.311	88.8
TOPSinker	140	10%	.430	86.3
Sweeper	74	29%	.211	82.6
Splitter	75	28%	.213	80.3
Cutter	121	17%	.297	85.1
Curveball	95	29%	.579	93.3

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

30%3/10 · L10 · avg 0.3

Our model65% OVER+15.2% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.3

Plate Appearancesavg 4.3

Hitsavg 0.3

Singlesavg 0.2

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 0.6

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 1.1

Walksavg 0.5

Tonight's lines

2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	9%	—	+650	-1.5	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	65%	+15.2%	-101	-4.1	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	22%	+1.8%	+400	-0.8	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	4%	-0.1%	+2500	-0.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	9%	+2.2%	+1413	-2.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	6%	—	+363	-7.0	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	4%	—	+900	-1.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	49%	—	+140	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	31%	—	+200	-1.1	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=350 PA · 2026-03-17 → 2026-07-31

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	67-314	.213	.334	.121	10	5	6	36	28.7%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	17-99	.172	.212	.040	1	0	1	11	33.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	50-215	.233	.391	.158	9	5	5	25	26.5%
Last 15 days recent form	5-39	.128	.205	.077	0	0	1	6	30.8%
vs PHI tonight's opponent (full roster)	4-19	.211	.263	.053	1	0	0	1	36.8%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	1456-9416	.155	.276	.121	197	119	235	857	26.9%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.270

wOBA0.280

delta+0.010 hot

n=350 PA

Spray chart

360 balls in play since 2025· wind 11 mph cross-wind

Balls in play360

HR rate2.8%

Hard-hit (95+)35%

Avg exit velo83.7 mph

Ground ball43%

Line drive23%

Fly ball24%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-01	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-29	5	1	0	0	2	1-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-07-28	3	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-07-27	5	1	1	0	0	1-for-5 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 2 R
2026-07-26	5	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	1	1	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-24	5	0	0	1	2	0-for-4 · 1 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-07-22	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-07-20	4	1	0	1	2	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Leody Taveras across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.