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Christopher Morel
1B · RHB · RHP · NYM
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Christopher Morel, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | — | — | — |
| A | 0-1 | 0% | -100.0% |
| B | — | — | — |
Combined 0-1 · n=1 · ROI -100.0% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA2.9Plate Appearancesavg 2.9
Hitsavg 0.5
Singlesavg 0.4
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 0.6
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 1.0
Walksavg 0.3
Splits
Career n=94 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-26
xStats luck
xwOBA0.253
wOBA0.237
delta−0.016 due
n=94 PA
Spray chart
237 balls in play since 2025Balls in play237
HR rate4.6%
Hard-hit (95+)46%
Avg exit velo89.7 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive18%
Fly ball32%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-05-20
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
0.65× HR rate
66 yes / 63 no · 28 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
+29%
22 yes / 107 no · 28 HRs
// 5 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Rested (2+ days off)
+26%
11 yes / 117 no · 27 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−17%
10 yes / 119 no · 28 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
−13%
82 yes / 46 no · 27 HRs
Playing at home
neutral
66 yes / 63 no · 28 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
neutral
23 yes / 106 no · 28 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Christopher Morel across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.