Adley Rutschman

C · SHB · RHP · BAL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

PHI

Starter

Zack Wheeler (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

16.6%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Adley Rutschman, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	2-1	67%	+78.7%
A	1-0	100%	+198.0%
B	1-5	17%	-74.7%

Combined 4-6 · n=10 · ROI -1.4% · avg CLV -14.3 pts · beat close 29%

Matchup

Adley Rutschman (SHB) vs Zack Wheeler RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Zack Wheeler RHP · season · 92.1 IP · 396 BF

BAA

.194

wOBA

.254

SLG

.342

ISO

.148

WHIP

1.05

HR/9

1.27

BB%

6.3%

31.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.2%

HH%

36.6%

FB%

35.3%

HR/FB%

16.7%

Adley Rutschman hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	67-266	.252	.425	.173	8	11.0%	15.4%
vs RHP	42-166	.253	.452	.199	5	11.7%	18.7%

Pitch-type matchup

Zack Wheeler's arsenal × how Adley Rutschman hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Zack Wheeler throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	40%	95.8	26%	.349
Sinker	17%	95.2	11%	.327
Sweeper	14%	83.3	38%	.377
Splitter	10%	87.0	36%	.324
Cutter	10%	91.6	18%	.297
Curveball	9%	80.9	47%	.305

Adley Rutschman vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	697	7%	.376	93.0
Sinker	260	6%	.287	88.2
Sweeper	177	17%	.301	88.1
Splitter	91	11%	.264	81.0
Cutter	185	15%	.447	92.8
Curveball	168	16%	.389	85.6

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1

Plate Appearancesavg 4.1

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.2

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-07-29 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	86%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=299 PA · 2026-03-18 → 2026-07-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	67-266	.252	.425	.173	20	1	8	33	15.4%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	25-100	.250	.380	.130	4	0	3	11	10.0%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	42-166	.253	.452	.199	16	1	5	22	18.7%
Last 15 days recent form	0-4	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	1	25.0%
vs PHI tonight's opponent (full roster)	8-22	.364	.591	.227	2	0	1	1	18.2%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	1384-6252	.221	.256	.035	216	0	0	1185	12.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.319

wOBA0.316

delta−0.003 due

n=299 PA

Spray chart

504 balls in play since 2025· wind 2 mph blowing in

Balls in play504

HR rate3.6%

Hard-hit (95+)40%

Avg exit velo89.2 mph

Ground ball41%

Line drive25%

Fly ball29%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-07-18	5	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-17	4	1	1	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R · 1 BB
2026-07-14	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-11	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-07-10	4	1	0	1	0	1-for-3 · 1 BB
2026-07-09	4	0	0	2	0	0-for-2 · 2 BB
2026-07-08	5	1	0	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 BB
2026-07-07	4	2	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 2 RBI
2026-07-05	5	1	0	0	0	1-for-5
2026-07-04	5	2	2	0	1	2-for-5 · 2 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Adley Rutschman across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.

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