Ryan Kreidler

SS · RHB · RHP · MIN

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

MIL

Starter

Robert Gasser (LHP)

Stadium

American Family Field

Model HR%

15.6%

Model Hits%

67.5%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+12.3% edgemodel 67% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (20% usage, .632 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	67%	+12.3%	60%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	16%	+6.8%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Ryan Kreidler, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	11-15	42%	-20.9%
A	2-7	22%	-9.3%
B	2-5	29%	-16.4%

Combined 15-27 · n=42 · ROI -17.7% · avg CLV -2.1 pts · beat close 27%

Matchup

Ryan Kreidler (RHB) vs Robert Gasser LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Robert Gasser LHP · season · 66.7 IP · 287 BF

BAA

.235

wOBA

.304

SLG

.424

ISO

.189

WHIP

1.27

HR/9

1.48

BB%

8.0%

22.7%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.6%

HH%

32.5%

FB%

40.2%

HR/FB%

14.1%

Ryan Kreidler hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	66-339	.195	.322	.127	8	7.6%	25.7%
vs LHP	19-127	.150	.244	.094	2	9.3%	20.5%

Pitch-type matchup

Robert Gasser's arsenal × how Ryan Kreidler hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Robert Gasser throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Sweeper	30%	81.5	34%	.318
TOPSinker	24%	92.2	10%	.319
TOPFour-Seam	20%	93.0	23%	.538
Cutter	15%	88.0	31%	.322
Changeup	11%	88.6	10%	.413

Ryan Kreidler vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Sweeper	54	25%	.220	82.7
TOPSinker	82	23%	.418	91.7
TOPFour-Seam	117	27%	.632	88.7
Cutter	45	38%	.212	81.3
Changeup	47	38%	.308	93.6

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Our model67% OVER+12.3% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.3

Plate Appearancesavg 3.3

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.4

Total Basesavg 1.5

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.4

Walksavg 0.1

Tonight's lines

2026-08-08 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	B	8%	—	+550	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	67%	+12.3%	-123	+2.8	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	A	26%	+6.1%	+400	+1.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	4%	-0.8%	+2250	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	16%	+6.8%	+1042	+0.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	10%	—	+336	+1.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	48%	—	+145	+0.8	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=367 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-08-05

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	66-339	.195	.322	.127	9	5	8	28	25.7%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	19-127	.150	.244	.094	4	1	2	13	20.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	47-212	.222	.368	.146	5	4	6	15	28.8%
Last 15 days recent form	7-31	.226	.419	.194	4	1	0	1	12.9%
vs MIL tonight's opponent (full roster)	3-7	.429	.429	.000	0	0	0	0	28.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.283

wOBA0.285

delta+0.002 hot

n=208 PA

Spray chart

188 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play188

HR rate3.2%

Hard-hit (95+)39%

Avg exit velo87.3 mph

Ground ball49%

Line drive16%

Fly ball27%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-07	4	2	0	0	0	0	2-for-4
2026-08-05	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-08-04	4	0	0	0	1	0	0-for-3 · 1 SB · 1 BB
2026-08-02	3	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-3 · 1 R
2026-08-01	3	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 K
2026-07-30	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-2
2026-07-29	3	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B
2026-07-28	4	1	0	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 2 K
2026-07-26	4	3	2	1	0	0	3-for-4 · 1 3B · 1 RBI · 3 R · 2 SB
2026-07-25	3	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 SB

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Ryan Kreidler across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.