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Kyle Stowers
1B · LHB · LHP · MIA
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+8.7% edgemodel 69% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Changeup (30% usage, .449 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Kyle Stowers, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 5-3 | 63% | +24.1% |
| A | 4-2 | 67% | +5.7% |
| B | 2-5 | 29% | -55.6% |
Combined 11-10 · n=21 · ROI -7.7% · avg CLV -1.6 pts · beat close 31%
Matchup
Kyle Stowers (LHB) vs Martín Pérez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Martín Pérez's arsenal × how Kyle Stowers hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2Plate Appearancesavg 4.2
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.2
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 2.4
Home Runsavg 0.4
Strikeoutsavg 1.1
Walksavg 0.5
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=384 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-04
xStats luck
xwOBA0.330
wOBA0.333
delta+0.003 hot
n=383 PA
Spray chart
511 balls in play since 2025Balls in play511
HR rate8.0%
Hard-hit (95+)53%
Avg exit velo91.3 mph
Ground ball38%
Line drive25%
Fly ball31%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Kyle Stowers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.