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Hits OVER 0.5 +6.8% edge model 62% · grade A
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits OVER 0.5 62% +6.8% 50% LEAN Home Runs OVER 0.5 13% +6.3% 0% CAUTION
Matchup Raynel Delgado (LHB) vs Jack Flaherty RHP favors batter favors pitcher Jack Flaherty RHP · season · 81.2 IP · 349 BF
Raynel Delgado hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 11-31 .355 .387 .032 0 3.1% 16.1% vs RHP 8-21 .381 .381 .000 0 0.0% 9.5%
Pitch-type matchup Jack Flaherty's arsenal × how Raynel Delgado hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Jack Flaherty throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA Four-Seam 47% 92.8 14% .426 Slider 24% 85.0 28% .365 Knuckle Curve 23% 77.9 39% .373 Changeup 3% 85.9 32% .054 Sinker 2% 90.8 24% .306
Raynel Delgado vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV Four-Seam 10 0% — 96.9 Slider 2 50% — 90.1 Knuckle Curve no sample Changeup 3 0% — 60.5 Sinker 6 0% — 84.4
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits50% Total Bases20% Home Runs0% Singles50% Doubles0% Triples0% Strikeouts40% Walks10% RBIs10% Runs Scored10% Hits + Runs + RBIs50% Stolen Bases0%
50% 5/10 · L10 · avg 0.7
Our model 62% OVER +6.8% edge A
0 @PHI 03-19 1 vBOS 03-20 1 @KCR 06-14 2 vDET 06-16 0 vCLE 06-20 1 vCLE 06-21 0 @TOR 06-22 2 @TOR 06-23 0 @TOR 06-24 0 @DET 06-26
L5 40% 2/5 L10 50% 5/10 L20 40% 8/20 2026 37% 10/27 2025 0% 0/1
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 2.7 Plate Appearances avg 2.7
3 1 3 4 1 3 3 4 4 1 Total Bases avg 0.7
0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 Home Runs avg 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.4
1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
Tonight's lines 2026-06-28 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't Hits OVER 0.5-122 Hits OVER 1.5+450 Hits OVER 2.5+1600 Home Runs OVER 0.5+1508
Price legs
Splits Career n=32 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-06-26
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
11-31 .355 .387 .032 1 0 0 1 16.1% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
3-10 .300 .400 .100 1 0 0 1 30.0% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
8-21 .381 .381 .000 0 0 0 0 9.5% Last 15 days
recent form
6-22 .273 .273 .000 0 0 0 1 13.6% vs DET
tonight's opponent (full roster)
2-4 .500 .500 .000 0 0 0 1 0.0% @ Comerica Park
tonight's stadium
0-0 — — — 0 0 0 161 —
Spray chart 27 balls in play since 2025 1B 2B 3B HR OUTAll vLHP vRHP
Match Jack Flaherty's mix Balls in play 27
HR rate 0.0%
Hard-hit (95+) 25%
Avg exit velo 83.7 mph
Ground ball 48%
Line drive 30%
Fly ball 19%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-06-26 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0-for-0 · 1 BB 2026-06-24 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 K 2026-06-23 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 2-for-4 2026-06-22 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-for-3 2026-06-21 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-3 2026-06-20 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-1 · 1 K 2026-06-16 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 R 2026-06-14 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1-for-3 · 1 K 2026-03-20 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-1 2026-03-19 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-3 · 1 K
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Raynel Delgado across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.