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Tristan Peters
CF · LHB · RHP · CHW
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+5.7% edgemodel 65% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Changeup (21% usage, .447 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Tristan Peters, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 29-11 | 73% | +52.4% |
| A | 12-9 | 57% | +6.4% |
| B | 9-7 | 56% | +18.5% |
Combined 50-27 · n=77 · ROI +32.8% · avg CLV -2.2 pts · beat close 27%
Matchup
Tristan Peters (LHB) vs Daniel Lynch IV LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Daniel Lynch IV's arsenal × how Tristan Peters hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.7Plate Appearancesavg 3.7
Hitsavg 0.3
Singlesavg 0.2
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 0.4
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 1.0
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=510 PA · 2025-03-15 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.303
wOBA0.343
delta+0.040 hot
n=487 PA
Spray chart
361 balls in play since 2025Balls in play361
HR rate3.3%
Hard-hit (95+)35%
Avg exit velo84.8 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive23%
Fly ball28%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Tristan Peters across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.