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Luis Robert Jr.
CF · RHB · NYM
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6Plate Appearancesavg 3.6
Hitsavg 0.5
Singlesavg 0.3
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.1
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 1.3
Walksavg 0.3
Splits
Career n=156 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.287
wOBA0.286
delta−0.001 due
n=156 PA
Spray chart
389 balls in play since 2025Balls in play389
HR rate5.1%
Hard-hit (95+)39%
Avg exit velo88.7 mph
Ground ball40%
Line drive23%
Fly ball28%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-36.6%significant
n=278 games · 0/15 HR when active
+49.6%significant
n=278 games · 19/71 HR when active
-28.6%significant
n=275 games · 24/155 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-06-09
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
1.55× HR rate
20 yes / 250 no · 52 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
1.50× HR rate
126 yes / 152 no · 52 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
+50%
71 yes / 207 no · 52 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
0.63× HR rate
15 yes / 263 no · 52 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
+34%
134 yes / 140 no · 52 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
+32%
126 yes / 152 no · 52 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+31%
61 yes / 216 no · 52 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−29%
155 yes / 120 no · 52 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
−26%
35 yes / 235 no · 52 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+21%
23 yes / 255 no · 52 HRs
// 18 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
+17%
202 yes / 75 no · 52 HRs
Playing at home
−15%
142 yes / 136 no · 52 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
−13%
16 yes / 261 no · 52 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−13%
68 yes / 210 no · 52 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
−13%
45 yes / 233 no · 52 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+12%
152 yes / 111 no · 49 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+9%
53 yes / 224 no · 52 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
+8%
43 yes / 232 no · 52 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
−7%
43 yes / 184 no · 35 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−6%
39 yes / 215 no · 50 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
neutral
149 yes / 124 no · 50 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 277 no · 52 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
neutral
200 yes / 78 no · 52 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 275 no · 52 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
3rd time through order vs starter
neutral
0 yes / 278 no · 52 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 278 no · 52 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Luis Robert Jr. across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.