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Jared Young
1B · LHB · RHP · NYM
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+7.5% edgemodel 62% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (33% usage, .528 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Jared Young, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 2-2 | 50% | -10.7% |
| A | 3-1 | 75% | +25.6% |
| B | 3-2 | 60% | +17.6% |
Combined 8-5 · n=13 · ROI +11.4% · avg CLV -3.7 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Jared Young (LHB) vs Grant Holmes RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Grant Holmes's arsenal × how Jared Young hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA2.9Plate Appearancesavg 2.9
Hitsavg 0.5
Singlesavg 0.3
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.1
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.2
Tonight's lines
2026-07-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=245 PA · 2023-06-28 → 2026-07-01
xStats luck
xwOBA0.298
wOBA0.299
delta+0.001 hot
n=139 PA
Spray chart
122 balls in play since 2025Balls in play122
HR rate8.2%
Hard-hit (95+)49%
Avg exit velo89.3 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive17%
Fly ball29%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Jared Young across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.