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Jared Young
1B · LHB · RHP · NYM
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+4.2% edgemodel 62% · grade B
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (23% usage, .528 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Jared Young, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 23-11 | 68% | +39.4% |
| A | 9-8 | 53% | +25.2% |
| B | 6-7 | 46% | +3.1% |
Combined 38-26 · n=64 · ROI +28.2% · avg CLV -0.8 pts · beat close 29%
Matchup
Jared Young (LHB) vs Walker Buehler RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Walker Buehler's arsenal × how Jared Young hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.5
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 2.5
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.6
Walksavg 0.2
Tonight's lines
2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=354 PA · 2023-06-28 → 2026-08-14
xStats luck
xwOBA0.316
wOBA0.329
delta+0.013 hot
n=248 PA
Spray chart
206 balls in play since 2025Balls in play206
HR rate5.8%
Hard-hit (95+)49%
Avg exit velo89.3 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive22%
Fly ball26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Jared Young across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.