Ceddanne Rafaela

CF · RHB · RHP · BOS

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

Starter

Randy Dobnak

Stadium

Fenway Park

Model HR%

9.7%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.8

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 0.8

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-09-12 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	90%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=591 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-02

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	159-559	.284	.447	.163	32	4	17	32	21.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	40-143	.280	.503	.224	9	4	5	11	25.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	119-416	.286	.428	.142	23	0	12	21	20.0%
Last 15 days recent form	4-24	.167	.167	.000	0	0	0	0	16.7%
@ Fenway Park tonight's stadium	7345-25148	.292	.401	.109	1447	0	434	988	17.8%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.277

wOBA0.331

delta+0.054 hot

n=591 PA

// SPRAY PROFILE NOT YET AVAILABLE — needs ≥1 season of batted-ball data

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	K	Outcomes
2026-09-02	3	1	0	1-for-3
2026-09-01	3	0	2	0-for-3 · 2 K
2026-08-31	5	2	1	2-for-5 · 3 RBI · 1 K
2026-08-30	4	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-08-29	5	1	0	1-for-5 · 1 RBI
2026-08-29	4	0	0	0-for-4
2026-08-28	4	2	2	2-for-4 · 2 K
2026-08-26	4	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-08-25	5	1	1	1-for-5 · 1 K
2026-08-24	5	1	1	1-for-5 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Ceddanne Rafaela across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.