Richie Palacios

2B · LHB · RHP · TBR

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

HOU

Starter

Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Stadium

Daikin Park

Model HR%

11.6%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Richie Palacios, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	6-2	75%	+41.0%
A	3-2	60%	-7.2%
B	2-5	29%	-46.6%

Combined 11-9 · n=20 · ROI -1.7% · avg CLV -1.1 pts · beat close 25%

Matchup

Richie Palacios (LHB) vs Spencer Arrighetti RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Spencer Arrighetti RHP · season · 72.8 IP · 313 BF

BAA

.211

wOBA

.332

SLG

.340

ISO

.128

WHIP

1.43

HR/9

1.11

BB%

15.3%

24.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.8%

HH%

32.5%

FB%

38.2%

HR/FB%

15.0%

Richie Palacios hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	147-626	.235	.351	.117	14	13.1%	20.8%
vs RHP	116-524	.221	.340	.118	12	14.1%	21.0%

Pitch-type matchup

Spencer Arrighetti's arsenal × how Richie Palacios hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Spencer Arrighetti throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Four-Seam	31%	92.9	16%	.390
TOPCurveball	27%	76.9	41%	.313
TOPSweeper	14%	79.3	28%	.284
Cutter	10%	87.1	26%	.386
Sinker	9%	92.4	6%	.442
Changeup	9%	84.5	24%	.479

Richie Palacios vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Four-Seam	251	11%	.295	88.5
TOPCurveball	51	36%	.406	88.5
TOPSweeper	35	12%	.356	78.3
Cutter	43	13%	.430	84.5
Sinker	87	6%	.135	84.6
Changeup	72	36%	.497	88.8

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.6

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.3

Plate Appearancesavg 3.3

Hitsavg 0.6

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 0.7

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.2

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-07-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	88%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=720 PA · 2023-08-17 → 2026-07-01

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	147-626	.235	.351	.117	25	3	14	94	20.8%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	31-102	.304	.412	.108	3	1	2	8	19.6%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	116-524	.221	.340	.118	22	2	12	86	21.0%
Last 15 days recent form	5-28	.179	.214	.036	1	0	0	2	3.6%
vs HOU tonight's opponent (full roster)	1-5	.200	.200	.000	0	0	0	0	20.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.294

wOBA0.285

delta−0.009 due

n=210 PA

Spray chart

186 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play186

HR rate1.1%

Hard-hit (95+)30%

Avg exit velo85.6 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive27%

Fly ball18%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-07-02	3	1	0	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-01	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-06-28	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-06-27	3	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-06-26	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-06-25	5	2	0	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 R
2026-06-23	5	1	0	0	0	1-for-5
2026-06-22	3	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 R
2026-06-20	2	0	0	1	0	0-for-1 · 1 BB
2026-06-19	3	1	1	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 1 R

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Richie Palacios across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.