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Ryan Jeffers
C · RHB · RHP · MIN
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs OVER 0.5+6.1% edgemodel 16% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (29% usage, .379 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Ryan Jeffers, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | — | — | — |
| A | 1-1 | 50% | -19.5% |
| B | — | — | — |
Combined 1-1 · n=2 · ROI -19.5% · avg CLV -15.9 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Ryan Jeffers (RHB) vs George Kirby RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
George Kirby's arsenal × how Ryan Jeffers hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.7
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=217 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-31
xStats luck
xwOBA0.323
wOBA0.374
delta+0.051 hot
n=216 PA
Spray chart
482 balls in play since 2025· wind 8 mph blowing inBalls in play482
HR rate3.9%
Hard-hit (95+)36%
Avg exit velo88.0 mph
Ground ball37%
Line drive26%
Fly ball27%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Ryan Jeffers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.