Heriberto Hernández

LF · RHB · RHP · MIA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

ATL

Starter

Grant Holmes (RHP)

Stadium

Truist Park

Model HR%

15.3%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Heriberto Hernández, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	3-2	60%	+66.6%
A	6-6	50%	+217.1%
B	5-7	42%	+52.5%

Combined 14-15 · n=29 · ROI +123.0% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Heriberto Hernández (RHB) vs Grant Holmes RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Grant Holmes RHP · season · 107.9 IP · 464 BF

BAA

.237

wOBA

.334

SLG

.407

ISO

.170

WHIP

1.38

HR/9

1.50

BB%

11.0%

19.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.4%

HH%

45.1%

FB%

34.1%

HR/FB%

20.0%

Heriberto Hernández hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	64-271	.236	.465	.229	16	10.3%	29.5%
vs RHP	38-173	.220	.393	.173	7	9.9%	32.4%

Pitch-type matchup

Grant Holmes's arsenal × how Heriberto Hernández hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Grant Holmes throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSlider	36%	85.3	40%	.381
TOPFour-Seam	33%	94.4	14%	.433
TOPCurveball	14%	83.3	30%	.324
Cutter	12%	92.1	13%	.339
Changeup	3%	89.7	18%	.341
Sinker	2%	93.5	0%	.294

Heriberto Hernández vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSlider	231	39%	.420	87.1
TOPFour-Seam	438	25%	.414	93.7
TOPCurveball	78	34%	.416	87.9
Cutter	130	35%	.288	83.6
Changeup	182	44%	.575	93.0
Sinker	273	22%	.366	90.6

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 1.0

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.2

Plate Appearancesavg 4.2

Hitsavg 1.0

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.3

Total Basesavg 2.2

Home Runsavg 0.3

Strikeoutsavg 1.7

Walksavg 0.1

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	85%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=302 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-01

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	64-271	.236	.465	.229	12	1	16	31	29.5%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	26-98	.265	.592	.327	3	1	9	12	24.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	38-173	.220	.393	.173	9	0	7	19	32.4%
Last 15 days recent form	10-48	.208	.458	.250	3	0	3	3	41.7%
vs ATL tonight's opponent (full roster)	5-30	.167	.267	.100	0	0	1	2	46.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.336

wOBA0.332

delta−0.004 due

n=301 PA

Spray chart

375 balls in play since 2025· wind 3 mph blowing out

Balls in play375

HR rate6.9%

Hard-hit (95+)50%

Avg exit velo91.7 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive22%

Fly ball30%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-01	5	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-07-30	4	0	0	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-07-29	4	1	0	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-07-28	4	0	0	0	0	3	0-for-4 · 3 K
2026-07-27	5	2	0	1	0	3	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 2 R · 3 K
2026-07-26	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-24	4	2	1	1	0	2	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-07-22	4	2	1	0	0	2	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 SB · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Heriberto Hernández across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.