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Brett Baty
3B · LHB · RHP · NYM
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+12.0% edgemodel 65% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (41% usage, .445 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Brett Baty, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 23-36 | 39% | -27.0% |
| A | 8-9 | 47% | +41.4% |
| B | 6-20 | 23% | -61.9% |
Combined 37-65 · n=102 · ROI -24.5% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 56%
Matchup
Brett Baty (LHB) vs Shane Baz RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Shane Baz's arsenal × how Brett Baty hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.4Plate Appearancesavg 3.4
Hitsavg 0.9
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 1.4
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.6
Walksavg 0.6
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=1,497 PA · 2023-04-17 → 2026-09-13
xStats luck
xwOBA0.309
wOBA0.295
delta−0.014 due
n=452 PA
Spray chart
602 balls in play since 2025Balls in play602
HR rate5.0%
Hard-hit (95+)43%
Avg exit velo90.5 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive25%
Fly ball26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Brett Baty across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.