Wade Meckler

LF · LHB · RHP · LAA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

BAL

Starter

Brandon Young (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

15.2%

Model Hits%

74.9%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs OVER 0.5+8.5% edgemodel 15% · grade S

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (43% usage, 1.058 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	15%	+8.5%	10%	CAUTION
Hits	OVER 0.5	75%	+8.2%	50%	LEAN

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Wade Meckler, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	4-1	80%	+47.6%
A	0-2	0%	-100.0%
B	0-1	0%	-100.0%

Combined 4-4 · n=8 · ROI -7.7% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Wade Meckler (LHB) vs Brandon Young RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Brandon Young RHP · season · 102.3 IP · 440 BF

BAA

.241

wOBA

.315

SLG

.375

ISO

.134

WHIP

1.31

HR/9

0.97

BB%

8.4%

19.3%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.5%

HH%

42.4%

FB%

37.0%

HR/FB%

10.6%

Wade Meckler hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	63-229	.275	.367	.092	3	10.9%	29.7%
vs RHP	55-198	.278	.379	.101	3	10.4%	29.8%

Pitch-type matchup

Brandon Young's arsenal × how Wade Meckler hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Brandon Young throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	43%	93.9	18%	.318
Splitter	19%	87.0	25%	.401
Curveball	14%	75.6	16%	.342
Slider	11%	83.1	29%	.349
Cutter	6%	86.8	19%	.386
Sinker	5%	93.2	5%	.347
Changeup	3%	87.1	27%	.551
Pitchout	0%	91.4	—	—

Wade Meckler vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	22	0%	1.058	90.9
Splitter	10	43%	.275	64.0
Curveball	8	100%	—	—
Slider	11	0%	—	94.4
Cutter	4	—	—	—
Sinker	18	20%	—	87.6
Changeup	8	40%	.272	90.9
Pitchout	no sample

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

50%5/10 · L10 · avg 0.8

Our model75% OVER+8.2% edgeS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA2.7

Plate Appearancesavg 2.7

Hitsavg 0.8

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.2

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.6

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	12%	—	+475	+1.4	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	75%	+8.2%	-200	+5.7	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	31%	+0.7%	+230	+5.3	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	7%	-3.5%	+850	+3.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	S	15%	+8.5%	+1398	+0.5	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	12%	—	+331	-1.3	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	8%	—	+1000	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	53%	—	-140	+8.1	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	15%	—	+400	+4.6	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	B	41%	—	+174	+2.0	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=257 PA · 2023-08-14 → 2026-08-04

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	63-229	.275	.367	.092	10	1	3	28	29.7%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	8-31	.258	.290	.032	1	0	0	5	29.0%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	55-198	.278	.379	.101	9	1	3	23	29.8%
Last 15 days recent form	7-23	.304	.478	.174	1	0	1	3	26.1%
vs BAL tonight's opponent (full roster)	5-11	.455	.455	.000	0	0	0	2	18.2%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	154-231	.667	.667	.000	0	0	0	77	33.3%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.312

wOBA0.345

delta+0.033 hot

n=173 PA

Spray chart

124 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play124

HR rate2.4%

Hard-hit (95+)31%

Avg exit velo85.6 mph

Ground ball52%

Line drive29%

Fly ball19%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-05	1	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-1 · 1 RBI · 1 SB
2026-08-04	4	2	0	0	1	1	2-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-02	3	1	0	1	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-08-01	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-31	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-29	4	2	1	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 2B
2026-07-28	3	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-3 · 2 K
2026-07-25	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-24	5	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-5 · 2 K
2026-07-22	4	2	0	0	1	0	2-for-3 · 1 BB

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Wade Meckler across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.