← BACK TO SLATE Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5 +7.2% edge model 70% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (26% usage, 1.058 xwOBA).
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits OVER 0.5 70% +7.2% 60% STRONG Home Runs OVER 0.5 13% +6.3% 0% CAUTION
Our track record settled S/A/B picks on Wade Meckler, by confidence tier Tier Record Hit rate ROI S 7-2 78% +29.9% A 2-4 33% -44.6% B 3-2 60% +8.8%
Combined 12-8 · n=20 · ROI +2.3% · avg CLV -0.5 pts · beat close 50%
Matchup Wade Meckler (LHB) vs Dean Kremer favors batter favors pitcher Dean Kremer · season · 78.8 IP · 339 BF
Wade Meckler hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 96-347 .277 .352 .075 3 11.0% 25.6% vs ?HP 83-292 .284 .370 .086 3 10.7% 26.4%
Pitch-type matchup Dean Kremer's arsenal × how Wade Meckler hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Dean Kremer throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA TOP Four-Seam26% 93.3 14% .394 Splitter 23% 81.9 40% .296 Cutter 19% 86.9 23% .330 Sinker 19% 92.8 8% .366 Curveball 13% 78.2 21% .435 Slider 0% 83.5 40% .090 Pitchout 0% 91.1 — —
Wade Meckler vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV TOP Four-Seam22 0% 1.058 90.9 Splitter 10 43% .275 64.0 Cutter 4 — — — Sinker 18 20% — 87.6 Curveball 8 100% — — Slider 11 0% — 94.4 Pitchout no sample
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits60% Total Bases30% Home Runs0% Singles50% Doubles10% Triples0% Strikeouts50% Walks20% RBIs20% Runs Scored50% Hits + Runs + RBIs70% Stolen Bases20%
60% 6/10 · L10 · avg 0.8
Our model 70% OVER +7.2% edge A
0 @BOS 09-08 0 @WSN 09-11 1 @WSN 09-12 0 @WSN 09-13 1 vSEA 09-14 2 vSEA 09-15 0 vSEA 09-16 2 vMIN 09-17 1 vMIN 09-18 1 vMIN 09-19
L5 80% 4/5 L10 60% 6/10 L20 70% 14/20 2026 59% 61/104 2025 29% 2/7
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 3.6 Plate Appearances avg 3.6
1 3 2 4 3 4 5 5 3 6 Total Bases avg 0.9
0 0 2 0 1 2 0 2 1 1 Home Runs avg 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.6
0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0
Tonight's lines 2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled) Doubles + Triples
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Save Track 0.5 — PASS 10% — +476 -0.0 Sign in to save —
Total Bases
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Save Track 1.5 — PASS 35% — +190 -1.2 Sign in to save —
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't Hits OVER 0.5-167 Hits OVER 1.5+300 Home Runs OVER 0.5+1451
Price legs
Splits Career n=390 PA · 2023-08-14 → 2026-09-18
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Career
all history
96-347 .277 .352 .075 15 1 3 43 25.6% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
13-55 .236 .255 .018 1 0 0 8 21.8% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
83-292 .284 .370 .086 14 1 3 35 26.4% Last 15 days
recent form
11-38 .289 .368 .079 3 0 0 5 15.8% vs MIN
tonight's opponent (full roster)
8-18 .444 .500 .056 1 0 0 1 16.7% @ Angel Stadium
tonight's stadium
1634-4623 .353 .476 .122 139 0 142 778 19.9%
xStats luck
xwOBA 0.305
wOBA 0.330
delta +0.025 hot
n=306 PA
Spray chart 221 balls in play since 2025 1B 2B 3B HR OUTAll vLHP vRHP
Match Dean Kremer's mix Balls in play 221
HR rate 1.4%
Hard-hit (95+) 33%
Avg exit velo 85.0 mph
Ground ball 56%
Line drive 24%
Fly ball 18%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-09-19 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-6 2026-09-18 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1-for-3 · 1 K 2026-09-17 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 2-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 K 2026-09-16 5 0 0 0 0 1 2 0-for-4 · 1 BB · 2 K 2026-09-15 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2-for-4 · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 K 2026-09-14 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-3 · 1 R 2026-09-13 4 0 0 0 0 2 0 0-for-2 · 1 R · 2 BB 2026-09-12 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 1-for-2 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB 2026-09-11 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-3 · 1 K 2026-09-08 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-for-1
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Wade Meckler across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.