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Tyler Tolbert
2B · RHB · RHP · KCR
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+14.1% edgemodel 68% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (27% usage, .389 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Tyler Tolbert, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | — | — | — |
| A | 1-0 | 100% | +90.1% |
| B | — | — | — |
Combined 1-0 · n=1 · ROI +90.1% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Tyler Tolbert (RHB) vs Anthony Kay LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Anthony Kay's arsenal × how Tyler Tolbert hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA2.9Plate Appearancesavg 2.9
Hitsavg 0.6
Singlesavg 0.6
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.6
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-06-28 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=128 PA · 2024-03-16 → 2026-06-25
Spray chart
79 balls in play since 2025Balls in play79
HR rate1.3%
Hard-hit (95+)38%
Avg exit velo80.5 mph
Ground ball49%
Line drive25%
Fly ball23%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Tyler Tolbert across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.