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Hits UNDER 1.5 +0.5% edge model 81% · grade PASS
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits UNDER 1.5 81% +0.5% 100% LEAN
Our track record settled S/A/B picks on Dylan Crews, by confidence tier Tier Record Hit rate ROI S 0-1 0% -100.0% A 2-0 100% +182.5% B 2-0 100% +26.7%
Combined 4-1 · n=5 · ROI +63.7% · avg CLV +0.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup Dylan Crews (RHB) vs Griffin Jax RHP favors batter favors pitcher Griffin Jax RHP · season · 43.7 IP · 188 BF
Dylan Crews hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 18-103 .175 .311 .136 4 5.5% 22.3% vs RHP 13-74 .176 .311 .135 3 3.9% 23.0%
Pitch-type matchup Griffin Jax's arsenal × how Dylan Crews hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Griffin Jax throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA TOP Sweeper39% 87.9 43% .416 TOP Changeup21% 92.2 45% .323 TOP Four-Seam19% 96.8 17% .495 TOP Sinker14% 96.3 15% .329 Cutter 5% 93.2 21% .294 Curveball 3% 85.7 40% .483
Dylan Crews vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV TOP Sweeper121 31% .500 89.3 TOP Changeup132 38% .395 86.4 TOP Four-Seam360 26% .351 90.8 TOP Sinker270 16% .355 91.2 Cutter 72 26% .203 90.6 Curveball 61 32% .320 88.6
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits60% Total Bases30% Home Runs20% Singles30% Doubles10% Triples0% Strikeouts40% Walks10% RBIs60% Runs Scored50% Hits + Runs + RBIs60% Stolen Bases10%
60% 6/10 · L10 · avg 0.6
Our model 57% OVER -2.1% edge PASS
0 @ARI 06-07 0 @SFG 06-08 0 @SFG 06-09 1 @SFG 06-10 1 vSEA 06-12 1 vSEA 06-13 1 vSEA 06-14 1 vKCR 06-15 0 vKCR 06-16 1 vKCR 06-17
L5 80% 4/5 L10 60% 6/10 L20 65% 13/20 2026 51% 19/37 2025 52% 47/90
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 3.9 Plate Appearances avg 3.9
4 4 2 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 Total Bases avg 1.3
0 0 0 1 4 1 2 4 0 1 Home Runs avg 0.2
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.7
1 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0
Tonight's lines 2026-06-19 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled) Doubles + Triples
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 0.5 — B 6% — +475 +0.0 —
Hits
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 0.5 OVER PASS 57% -2.1% -143 -1.5 Sign in BEST 1.5UNDER PASS 81% +0.5% -400 — Sign in 2.5 OVER PASS 3% -3.3% +1400 -0.5 Sign in
Singles
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 0.5 — PASS 45% — +125 -1.0 —
Total Bases
Line Side Grade Model Edge Odds Move Track 1.5 — PASS 30% — +155 +0.0 —
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't -143 -400 +1400
Price legs
Splits Career n=109 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-06-17
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
18-103 .175 .311 .136 2 0 4 6 22.3% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
5-29 .172 .310 .138 1 0 1 3 20.7% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
13-74 .176 .311 .135 1 0 3 3 23.0% Last 15 days
recent form
8-47 .170 .383 .213 1 0 3 2 17.0%
xStats luck
xwOBA 0.294
wOBA 0.263
delta −0.031 due
n=109 PA
Spray chart 308 balls in play since 2025 All vLHP vRHP
Match Griffin Jax's mix Balls in play 308
HR rate 4.5%
Hard-hit (95+) 41%
Avg exit velo 89.8 mph
Ground ball 48%
Line drive 20%
Fly ball 26%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-06-17 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-4 · 1 RBI 2026-06-16 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 K 2026-06-15 4 1 0 0 1 0 0 1-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R 2026-06-14 5 1 1 0 0 0 0 1-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 R 2026-06-13 4 1 0 0 0 0 2 1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K 2026-06-12 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 R 2026-06-10 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 SB 2026-06-09 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0-for-1 · 1 BB 2026-06-08 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0-for-4 · 3 K 2026-06-07 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 K
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Dylan Crews across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.
