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Brooks Lee
3B · SHB · RHP · MIN
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs OVER 0.5+8.5% edgemodel 18% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Sinker (30% usage, .346 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Brooks Lee, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 9-3 | 75% | +38.7% |
| A | 4-15 | 21% | -33.9% |
| B | 4-10 | 29% | +28.1% |
Combined 17-28 · n=45 · ROI +4.7% · avg CLV -1.1 pts · beat close 30%
Matchup
Brooks Lee (SHB) vs Martín Pérez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Martín Pérez's arsenal × how Brooks Lee hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.2
Total Basesavg 1.9
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.1
Tonight's lines
2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=1,233 PA · 2024-03-15 → 2026-08-15
xStats luck
xwOBA0.263
wOBA0.307
delta+0.044 hot
n=498 PA
Spray chart
781 balls in play since 2025Balls in play781
HR rate4.4%
Hard-hit (95+)35%
Avg exit velo87.7 mph
Ground ball43%
Line drive22%
Fly ball28%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Brooks Lee across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.