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Brooks Lee
SS · SHB · RHP · MIN
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs UNDER 0.5+1.4% edgemodel 85% · grade PASS
Why: struggles vs the Slider (14% usage, .230 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Brooks Lee, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 1-1 | 50% | -18.6% |
| A | 3-1 | 75% | +105.5% |
| B | 0-3 | 0% | -100.0% |
Combined 4-5 · n=9 · ROI +9.4% · avg CLV -4.6 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Brooks Lee (SHB) vs Gerrit Cole RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Gerrit Cole's arsenal × how Brooks Lee hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.8
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.8
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-07-03 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=1,092 PA · 2024-03-15 → 2026-07-01
xStats luck
xwOBA0.276
wOBA0.299
delta+0.023 hot
n=357 PA
Spray chart
677 balls in play since 2025Balls in play677
HR rate4.6%
Hard-hit (95+)35%
Avg exit velo87.9 mph
Ground ball43%
Line drive22%
Fly ball29%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Brooks Lee across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.