Dalton Rushing

C · LHB · RHP · LAD

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

CHC

Starter

Javier Assad (RHP)

Stadium

Wrigley Field

Model HR%

27.5%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Dalton Rushing, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	7-5	58%	+1.3%
A	2-6	25%	-54.7%
B	1-6	14%	-68.6%

Combined 10-17 · n=27 · ROI -33.4% · avg CLV -0.6 pts · beat close 25%

Matchup

Dalton Rushing (LHB) vs Javier Assad RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Javier Assad RHP · season · 68.8 IP · 296 BF

BAA

.244

wOBA

.329

SLG

.400

ISO

.156

WHIP

1.28

HR/9

1.57

BB%

7.1%

17.2%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.7%

HH%

42.5%

FB%

34.5%

HR/FB%

20.0%

Dalton Rushing hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	58-231	.251	.476	.225	13	12.5%	32.9%
vs RHP	44-169	.260	.521	.260	12	12.4%	32.5%

Pitch-type matchup

Javier Assad's arsenal × how Dalton Rushing hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Javier Assad throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPSinker	41%	92.6	10%	.348
TOPCutter	20%	88.6	14%	.381
TOPFour-Seam	13%	92.6	17%	.420
Sweeper	10%	80.7	31%	.276
Curveball	7%	77.5	4%	.404
Changeup	6%	86.0	31%	.596
Slider	3%	84.6	13%	.315

Dalton Rushing vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPSinker	140	10%	.393	89.1
TOPCutter	99	28%	.424	93.3
TOPFour-Seam	267	27%	.427	92.6
Sweeper	68	44%	.439	88.5
Curveball	112	42%	.499	92.2
Changeup	130	44%	.346	85.2
Slider	127	39%	.599	87.0

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 0.9

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6

Plate Appearancesavg 3.6

Hitsavg 0.9

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.7

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 1.5

Walksavg 0.3

Tonight's lines

2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	73%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=264 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-01

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	58-231	.251	.476	.225	13	13	33	32.9%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	14-62	.226	.355	.129	5	1	9	33.9%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	44-169	.260	.521	.260	8	12	24	32.5%
Last 15 days recent form	9-31	.290	.548	.258	2	2	0	41.9%
vs CHC tonight's opponent (full roster)	3-14	.214	.214	.000	0	0	1	42.9%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.324

wOBA0.340

delta+0.016 hot

n=264 PA

Spray chart

241 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play241

HR rate7.1%

Hard-hit (95+)45%

Avg exit velo89.4 mph

Ground ball33%

Line drive29%

Fly ball29%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-01	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 K
2026-07-30	4	1	0	1	0	3	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R · 3 K
2026-07-29	3	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-28	4	3	1	0	0	1	3-for-4 · 1 2B · 2 R · 1 K
2026-07-26	1	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-1
2026-07-25	4	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-24	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-22	4	2	1	1	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-20	4	0	0	0	0	4	0-for-4 · 4 K
2026-07-19	5	0	0	0	3	2	0-for-2 · 1 R · 3 BB · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Dalton Rushing across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.