← BACK TO SLATE
Max Muncy
3B · RHB · OAK
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+18.1% edgemodel 72% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (27% usage, .511 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Max Muncy, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 7-7 | 50% | -5.3% |
| A | 3-1 | 75% | +29.5% |
| B | 0-5 | 0% | -100.0% |
Combined 10-13 · n=23 · ROI -19.8% · avg CLV -4.3 pts · beat close 50%
Matchup
Max Muncy (RHB) vs Jake Bennett favors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Jake Bennett's arsenal × how Max Muncy hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6Plate Appearancesavg 3.6
Hitsavg 0.6
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 0.7
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 1.5
Walksavg 0.5
Tonight's lines
2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=197 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-22
xStats luck
xwOBA0.267
wOBA0.305
delta+0.038 hot
n=195 PA
Spray chart
259 balls in play since 2025Balls in play259
HR rate6.2%
Hard-hit (95+)39%
Avg exit velo88.7 mph
Ground ball46%
Line drive22%
Fly ball22%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Max Muncy across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.