Dillon Dingler

C · RHB · RHP · DET

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

CWS

Starter

Davis Martin (RHP)

Stadium

Rate Field

Model HR%

12.3%

Model Hits%

64.5%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs UNDER 0.5+0.0% edgemodel 88% · grade PASS

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	UNDER 0.5	88%	+0.0%	90%	LEAN
Hits	OVER 0.5	65%	-1.0%	70%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Dillon Dingler, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	9-14	39%	-14.7%
A	9-9	50%	+60.9%
B	6-14	30%	-58.6%

Combined 24-37 · n=61 · ROI -6.8% · avg CLV -0.3 pts · beat close 40%

Matchup

Dillon Dingler (RHB) vs Davis Martin RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Davis Martin RHP · season · 142.3 IP · 612 BF

BAA

.255

wOBA

.338

SLG

.387

ISO

.131

WHIP

1.39

HR/9

0.89

BB%

9.2%

19.3%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.1%

HH%

44.8%

FB%

31.3%

HR/FB%

11.9%

Dillon Dingler hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	137-560	.245	.461	.216	30	7.7%	24.3%
vs RHP	100-384	.260	.513	.253	25	8.4%	22.4%

Pitch-type matchup

Davis Martin's arsenal × how Dillon Dingler hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Davis Martin throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	30%	94.0	19%	.380
TOPChangeup	22%	90.2	16%	.378
TOPSlider	20%	87.9	34%	.387
TOPSinker	12%	92.9	5%	.382
Curveball	7%	80.4	39%	.456
Cutter	6%	89.7	28%	.458
Sweeper	3%	83.7	27%	.391
UN	0%	68.6	—	—

Dillon Dingler vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	836	19%	.500	92.0
TOPChangeup	216	22%	.513	91.9
TOPSlider	397	22%	.406	88.8
TOPSinker	526	13%	.424	87.1
Curveball	215	34%	.425	89.6
Cutter	226	15%	.415	92.6
Sweeper	314	36%	.405	89.4
UN	no sample

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 0.7

Our model65% OVER-1.0% edgePASS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.9

Plate Appearancesavg 3.9

Hitsavg 0.7

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 1.1

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 1.2

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	9%	—	+375	+2.9	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	65%	-1.0%	-190	+2.3	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	25%	-1.7%	+280	+1.3	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	UNDER	PASS	88%	+0.0%	-714	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	7%	—	+180	+4.1	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	6%	—	+600	-1.1	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	47%	—	+105	+1.2	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	12%	—	+600	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	B	33%	—	+172	+0.1	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=607 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	137-560	.245	.461	.216	27	2	30	47	24.3%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	37-176	.210	.347	.136	9	0	5	12	28.4%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	100-384	.260	.513	.253	18	2	25	35	22.4%
Last 15 days recent form	6-40	.150	.250	.100	1	0	1	0	32.5%
vs Davis Martin tonight's starting pitcher	0-5	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	0	40.0%
@ Rate Field tonight's stadium	300-1054	.285	.431	.146	154	0	0	0	27.7%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.329

wOBA0.328

delta−0.001 due

n=606 PA

Spray chart

777 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play777

HR rate5.7%

Hard-hit (95+)43%

Avg exit velo88.8 mph

Ground ball37%

Line drive27%

Fly ball28%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	K	Outcomes
2026-09-19	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-18	3	1	0	0	2	1-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-17	4	1	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B
2026-09-16	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-09-14	4	1	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-13	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-11	4	1	0	1	2	1-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-09	4	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-07	4	0	0	0	3	0-for-4 · 3 K
2026-09-06	4	1	0	0	0	1-for-4

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Dillon Dingler across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.