Evan Carter

CF · LHB · RHP · TEX

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

NYM

Starter

Sean Manaea (LHP)

Stadium

Globe Life Field

Model HR%

11.8%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Evan Carter, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	17-8	68%	+45.0%
A	2-2	50%	-43.5%
B	2-8	20%	-23.0%

Combined 21-18 · n=39 · ROI +18.5% · avg CLV +0.1 pts · beat close 53%

Matchup

Evan Carter (LHB) vs Sean Manaea LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Sean Manaea LHP · season · 143.0 IP · 615 BF

BAA

.255

wOBA

.337

SLG

.459

ISO

.204

WHIP

1.39

HR/9

1.45

BB%

8.9%

22.1%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.7%

HH%

41.1%

FB%

36.6%

HR/FB%

16.9%

Evan Carter hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	189-903	.209	.355	.146	25	12.2%	28.6%
vs LHP	15-151	.099	.106	.007	0	9.0%	37.7%

Pitch-type matchup

Sean Manaea's arsenal × how Evan Carter hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Sean Manaea throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	53%	91.3	19%	.413
TOPSweeper	34%	76.5	33%	.361
Sinker	6%	89.5	2%	.352
Changeup	6%	84.0	23%	.586
Cutter	1%	84.0	45%	.335

Evan Carter vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	531	13%	.360	88.3
TOPSweeper	103	30%	.640	89.2
Sinker	262	8%	.294	84.1
Changeup	252	41%	.265	82.4
Cutter	111	24%	.342	85.9

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

20%2/10 · L10 · avg 0.4

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.0

Plate Appearancesavg 3.0

Hitsavg 0.4

Singlesavg 0.4

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 0.4

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 1.0

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-09-22 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	88%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=1,028 PA · 2023-09-08 → 2026-09-20

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	189-903	.209	.355	.146	41	8	25	125	28.6%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	15-151	.099	.106	.007	1	0	0	15	37.7%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	174-752	.231	.406	.174	40	8	25	110	26.7%
Last 15 days recent form	6-32	.188	.188	.000	0	0	0	3	37.5%
@ Globe Life Field tonight's stadium	2299-8853	.260	.393	.133	537	18	202	1046	33.9%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.269

wOBA0.264

delta−0.005 due

n=454 PA

Spray chart

442 balls in play since 2025· wind 5 mph blowing in

Balls in play442

HR rate3.2%

Hard-hit (95+)33%

Avg exit velo83.4 mph

Ground ball40%

Line drive23%

Fly ball28%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-20	4	3	0	0	3-for-4
2026-09-19	4	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 1 RBI · 2 K
2026-09-18	4	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-17	3	0	0	1	0-for-3 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-15	2	0	0	0	0-for-2
2026-09-13	2	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K
2026-09-12	1	1	0	0	1-for-1
2026-09-11	4	0	1	2	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 2 K
2026-09-10	4	0	1	1	0-for-3 · 1 R · 1 SB · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-09	2	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Evan Carter across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.