Jac Caglianone

RF · LHB · LHP · KCR

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Kyle Freeland (LHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

19.9%

Model Hits%

69.7%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Jac Caglianone, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	11-5	69%	+125.4%
A	2-2	50%	-22.1%
B	1-4	20%	-68.4%

Combined 14-11 · n=25 · ROI +63.0% · avg CLV +0.8 pts · beat close 54%

Matchup

Jac Caglianone (LHB) vs Kyle Freeland LHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Kyle Freeland LHP · season · 109.1 IP · 469 BF

BAA

.310

wOBA

.359

SLG

.552

ISO

.242

WHIP

1.50

HR/9

1.73

BB%

5.8%

18.6%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.6%

HH%

42.4%

FB%

31.7%

HR/FB%

21.4%

Jac Caglianone hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	92-371	.248	.442	.194	17	7.9%	30.7%
vs LHP	26-111	.234	.405	.171	5	3.5%	32.4%

Pitch-type matchup

Kyle Freeland's arsenal × how Jac Caglianone hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Kyle Freeland throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	32%	91.5	11%	.426
TOPKnuckle Curve	25%	82.5	34%	.337
TOPCutter	16%	87.3	17%	.427
TOPSweeper	14%	83.3	25%	.333
Changeup	8%	86.4	16%	.443
Sinker	6%	91.4	8%	.456

Jac Caglianone vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	405	20%	.515	95.5
TOPKnuckle Curve	47	38%	.461	95.5
TOPCutter	127	13%	.475	96.8
TOPSweeper	141	29%	.494	93.8
Changeup	165	27%	.323	87.9
Sinker	218	17%	.284	86.1

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

40%4/10 · L10 · avg 0.7

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.7

Plate Appearancesavg 3.7

Hitsavg 0.7

Singlesavg 0.3

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.5

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.7

Walksavg 0.2

Tonight's lines

2026-07-31 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	79%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=403 PA · 2026-03-19 → 2026-07-31

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	92-371	.248	.442	.194	17	2	17	32	30.7%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	26-111	.234	.405	.171	4	0	5	4	32.4%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	66-260	.254	.458	.204	13	2	12	28	30.0%
Last 15 days recent form	6-35	.171	.371	.200	1	0	2	2	20.0%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	0-72	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0	0	25.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.338

wOBA0.319

delta−0.019 due

n=403 PA

Spray chart

411 balls in play since 2025· wind 11 mph cross-wind

Balls in play411

HR rate5.6%

Hard-hit (95+)54%

Avg exit velo92.3 mph

Ground ball48%

Line drive26%

Fly ball22%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-01	5	1	1	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-07-31	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-07-30	4	2	1	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-07-29	5	2	0	0	1	2-for-5 · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-07-28	4	0	0	2	1	0-for-2 · 2 BB · 1 K
2026-07-26	5	0	0	0	2	0-for-5 · 2 K
2026-07-25	4	0	0	0	0	0-for-4
2026-07-24	1	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-07-21	2	0	0	0	1	0-for-2 · 1 K
2026-07-20	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Jac Caglianone across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.