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Stadium
Sutter Health Park
Tonight's top play
Hits UNDER 1.5 +2.8% edge model 75% · grade PASS
Verdict one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality? Prop Pick Model Edge L10 Verdict Hits UNDER 1.5 75% +2.8% 70% LEAN Home Runs OVER 0.5 11% +2.6% 0% CAUTION
Matchup Tommy White (RHB) vs Keider Montero RHP favors batter favors pitcher Keider Montero RHP · season · 103.0 IP · 443 BF
Tommy White hitting
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO HR BB% K% Season 15-60 .250 .283 .033 0 7.7% 18.3% vs RHP 8-35 .229 .286 .057 0 7.9% 14.3%
Pitch-type matchup Keider Montero's arsenal × how Tommy White hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot Keider Montero throws
Pitch Usage Velo Whiff xwOBA Four-Seam 32% 94.1 11% .395 Slider 20% 84.5 31% .409 Sinker 19% 94.0 9% .277 Knuckle Curve 14% 79.5 16% .383 Changeup 14% 87.0 22% .305 UN 0% 51.9 — — Sweeper 0% 83.7 — —
Tommy White vs each
Pitch Seen Whiff xwOBA EV Four-Seam 15 33% — 63.1 Slider 9 0% — 81.4 Sinker 8 33% — 81.6 Knuckle Curve no sample Changeup 2 50% — 98.3 UN no sample Sweeper 2 100% — —
xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under Hits40% Total Bases40% Home Runs0% Singles30% Doubles10% Triples0% Strikeouts50% Walks10% RBIs0% Runs Scored40% Hits + Runs + RBIs50% Stolen Bases0%
40% 4/10 · L10 · avg 1.0
Our model 33% UNDER +0.1% edge PASS
0 @ARI 07-22 1 @MIN 07-24 0 @MIN 07-25 2 @MIN 07-26 0 vBOS 07-27 4 vBOS 07-28 0 vBOS 07-29 0 vBOS 07-30 0 vDET 07-31 3 vDET 08-01
L5 40% 2/5 L10 40% 4/10 L20 50% 10/20 2026 50% 17/34 2025 33% 1/3
Recent form per-game over the last 10 Avg PA 4.1 Plate Appearances avg 4.1
4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 Total Bases avg 1.1
0 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 0 3 Home Runs avg 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Strikeouts avg 0.8
0 0 1 1 1 0 4 0 1 0
Tonight's lines 2026-08-02 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)
Same-game parlay pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't +200 -350 +750 +1037
Price legs
Splits Career n=65 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-07-31
Split H-AB BA SLG ISO 2B 3B HR BB K% Season
2026 season
15-60 .250 .283 .033 2 0 0 5 18.3% vs LHP
left-handed pitching
7-25 .280 .280 .000 0 0 0 2 24.0% vs RHP
right-handed pitching
8-35 .229 .286 .057 2 0 0 3 14.3% Last 15 days
recent form
13-48 .271 .292 .021 1 0 0 2 16.7% @ Sutter Health Park
tonight's stadium
98-728 .135 .170 .036 26 0 0 123 14.8%
Spray chart 53 balls in play since 2025 All vLHP vRHP
Match Keider Montero's mix Balls in play 53
HR rate 0.0%
Hard-hit (95+) 34%
Avg exit velo 85.2 mph
Ground ball 53%
Line drive 25%
Fly ball 21%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Date PA H 2B 3B HR BB K Outcomes 2026-08-01 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 3-for-4 · 1 R 2026-07-31 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 K 2026-07-30 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-for-4 2026-07-29 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 0-for-5 · 4 K 2026-07-28 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 4-for-4 · 2 R 2026-07-27 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 K 2026-07-26 4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2-for-4 · 2 R · 1 K 2026-07-25 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0-for-4 · 1 K 2026-07-24 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 1-for-4 · 1 2B 2026-07-22 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0-for-3 · 1 R · 1 BB
Nearest neighbors Top 10 hitters most similar to Tommy White across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.
