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Carson Benge
RF · LHB · RHP · NYM
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+3.5% edgemodel 64% · grade B
Why: strong vs the Changeup (37% usage, .362 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Carson Benge, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 17-13 | 57% | +19.6% |
| A | 13-9 | 59% | -1.7% |
| B | 12-11 | 52% | +136.9% |
Combined 42-33 · n=75 · ROI +49.3% · avg CLV -0.2 pts · beat close 38%
Matchup
Carson Benge (LHB) vs Cristopher Sánchez LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Cristopher Sánchez's arsenal × how Carson Benge hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.6Plate Appearancesavg 4.6
Hitsavg 1.2
Singlesavg 0.9
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 2.1
Home Runsavg 0.3
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=631 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-09-18
xStats luck
xwOBA0.332
wOBA0.329
delta−0.003 due
n=631 PA
Spray chart
435 balls in play since 2025Balls in play435
HR rate4.1%
Hard-hit (95+)38%
Avg exit velo88.3 mph
Ground ball45%
Line drive26%
Fly ball27%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Carson Benge across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.