Cole Young

2B · LHB · RHP · SEA

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

COL

Starter

Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP)

Stadium

Coors Field

Model HR%

18.3%

Model Hits%

70.9%

Tonight's top play

Home Runs OVER 0.5+4.4% edgemodel 18% · grade B

Why: strong vs the Sinker (16% usage, .401 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	18%	+4.4%	10%	CAUTION
Hits	UNDER 1.5	71%	+3.5%	80%	STRONG

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Cole Young, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	6-13	32%	-29.0%
A	6-8	43%	-32.7%
B	9-12	43%	+68.3%

Combined 21-33 · n=54 · ROI +7.9% · avg CLV -3.3 pts · beat close 44%

Matchup

Cole Young (LHB) vs Tomoyuki Sugano RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano RHP · season · 150.7 IP · 648 BF

BAA

.281

wOBA

.382

SLG

.531

ISO

.250

WHIP

1.40

HR/9

1.91

BB%

6.2%

14.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.4%

HH%

44.3%

FB%

35.1%

HR/FB%

20.5%

Cole Young hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	141-582	.242	.388	.146	19	8.2%	18.6%
vs RHP	98-389	.252	.416	.165	15	8.5%	17.0%

Pitch-type matchup

Tomoyuki Sugano's arsenal × how Cole Young hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Tomoyuki Sugano throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Splitter	23%	87.3	27%	.386
Four-Seam	20%	92.6	12%	.480
Sweeper	17%	83.6	19%	.320
TOPSinker	16%	92.7	8%	.432
Cutter	12%	88.3	12%	.476
Curveball	9%	78.5	16%	.522
Slider	3%	84.8	19%	.587

Cole Young vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Splitter	64	19%	.271	80.7
Four-Seam	752	19%	.306	88.9
Sweeper	121	33%	.295	85.2
TOPSinker	280	9%	.401	87.9
Cutter	170	18%	.262	84.4
Curveball	100	25%	.328	85.0
Slider	223	34%	.441	88.4

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

70%7/10 · L10 · avg 1.0

Our model29% UNDER-2.1% edgePASS

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.7

Plate Appearancesavg 3.7

Hitsavg 1.0

Singlesavg 0.6

Doublesavg 0.2

Total Basesavg 1.7

Home Runsavg 0.1

Strikeoutsavg 0.5

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-09-20 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	9%	—	+325	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	29%	-2.1%	+220	-1.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
BEST1.5	UNDER	B	71%	+3.5%	-204	-0.4	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	B	18%	+4.4%	+620	+0.3	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	13%	—	+147	-0.3	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	50%	—	-140	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	S	39%	—	+114	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=634 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-09-18

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	141-582	.242	.388	.146	20	4	19	52	18.6%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	43-193	.223	.332	.109	5	2	4	16	21.8%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	98-389	.252	.416	.165	15	2	15	36	17.0%
Last 15 days recent form	10-38	.263	.447	.184	2	1	1	3	15.8%
@ Coors Field tonight's stadium	9-36	.250	.500	.250	9	0	0	0	0.0%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.301

wOBA0.303

delta+0.002 hot

n=634 PA

Spray chart

652 balls in play since 2025· wind 9 mph blowing in

Balls in play652

HR rate3.5%

Hard-hit (95+)39%

Avg exit velo88.6 mph

Ground ball42%

Line drive22%

Fly ball27%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	K	Outcomes
2026-09-18	4	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 2B
2026-09-16	4	0	0	0	0	2	0-for-4 · 2 K
2026-09-15	4	1	0	0	0	0	1-for-4
2026-09-14	4	0	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-13	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-for-1
2026-09-12	6	3	0	0	1	0	3-for-6 · 1 HR · 5 RBI · 2 R
2026-09-11	4	1	0	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 3B
2026-09-10	3	1	0	0	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 K
2026-09-09	3	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-3 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-08	4	2	0	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 R

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Cole Young across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.