Jackson Holliday

2B · LHB · RHP · BAL

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Home vs

MIL

Starter

Dustin May (RHP)

Stadium

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Model HR%

12.3%

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Jackson Holliday, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	15-10	60%	+20.7%
A	10-8	56%	+40.7%
B	3-12	20%	-70.4%

Combined 28-30 · n=58 · ROI +3.3% · avg CLV -0.7 pts · beat close 44%

Matchup

Jackson Holliday (LHB) vs Dustin May RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Dustin May RHP · season · 141.4 IP · 608 BF

BAA

.247

wOBA

.308

SLG

.359

ISO

.113

WHIP

1.36

HR/9

0.70

BB%

9.4%

22.4%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

2.8%

HH%

43.1%

FB%

33.1%

HR/FB%

9.4%

Jackson Holliday hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	71-321	.221	.330	.109	7	9.6%	26.2%
vs RHP	53-239	.222	.339	.117	6	9.5%	24.7%

Pitch-type matchup

Dustin May's arsenal × how Jackson Holliday hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Dustin May throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
Sweeper	33%	85.3	27%	.357
Sinker	29%	94.9	10%	.431
TOPFour-Seam	19%	96.0	20%	.356
Cutter	13%	92.4	19%	.340
Changeup	3%	90.1	0%	.459
Curveball	2%	83.2	30%	.500
Pitchout	0%	95.7	—	—

Jackson Holliday vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
Sweeper	133	23%	.250	82.4
Sinker	364	18%	.337	88.7
TOPFour-Seam	877	19%	.407	92.5
Cutter	200	31%	.309	84.8
Changeup	346	26%	.342	85.5
Curveball	157	23%	.323	85.1
Pitchout	no sample

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

40%4/10 · L10 · avg 0.6

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.9

Plate Appearancesavg 3.9

Hitsavg 0.6

Singlesavg 0.5

Doublesavg 0.1

Total Basesavg 0.7

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 1.1

Walksavg 0.0

Tonight's lines

2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	UNDER	PASS	88%	—	—	—	Sign in to save	Sign in

Splits

Career n=355 PA · 2026-05-19 → 2026-09-14

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Season 2026 season	71-321	.221	.330	.109	12	1	7	34	26.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	18-82	.220	.305	.085	4	0	1	9	30.5%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	53-239	.222	.339	.117	8	1	6	25	24.7%
Last 15 days recent form	6-38	.158	.184	.026	1	0	0	0	26.3%
vs MIL tonight's opponent (full roster)	1-16	.063	.063	.000	0	0	0	3	25.0%
@ Oriole Park at Camden Yards tonight's stadium	3516-19402	.181	.273	.092	696	0	363	2219	26.4%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.289

wOBA0.270

delta−0.019 due

n=355 PA

Spray chart

696 balls in play since 2025· wind 8 mph cross-wind

Balls in play696

HR rate3.4%

Hard-hit (95+)35%

Avg exit velo86.7 mph

Ground ball48%

Line drive23%

Fly ball24%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	K	Outcomes
2026-09-14	4	2	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 R
2026-09-13	4	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-12	4	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-09-11	5	0	0	2	0-for-5 · 2 K
2026-09-09	4	1	0	0	1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R
2026-09-08	5	2	1	2	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 2 R · 2 K
2026-09-07	5	1	0	1	1-for-5 · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-05	4	0	0	3	0-for-4 · 3 K
2026-09-04	3	0	0	0	0-for-3
2026-09-03	1	0	0	1	0-for-1 · 1 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Jackson Holliday across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.