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Sam Antonacci
LF · LHB · RHP · CHW
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+10.1% edgemodel 64% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (31% usage, .436 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Sam Antonacci, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 3-3 | 50% | -9.1% |
| A | 1-4 | 20% | +180.2% |
| B | 0-5 | 0% | -100.0% |
Combined 4-12 · n=16 · ROI +21.6% · avg CLV -4.0 pts · beat close 9%
Matchup
Sam Antonacci (LHB) vs Tarik Skubal favors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Tarik Skubal's arsenal × how Sam Antonacci hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 0.8
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.1
Total Basesavg 1.5
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.4
Tonight's lines
2026-06-19 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=226 PA · 2026-03-19 → 2026-06-17
xStats luck
xwOBA0.355
wOBA0.346
delta−0.009 due
n=226 PA
Spray chart
159 balls in play since 2025· wind 9 mph cross-windBalls in play159
HR rate1.9%
Hard-hit (95+)35%
Avg exit velo87.6 mph
Ground ball50%
Line drive26%
Fly ball21%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Sam Antonacci across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.