← BACK TO SLATE
A.J. Ewing
CF · LHB · RHP · NYM
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs OVER 0.5+5.0% edgemodel 15% · grade A
Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (18% usage, .739 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on A.J. Ewing, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 11-9 | 55% | +7.6% |
| A | 1-10 | 9% | -85.0% |
| B | 9-9 | 50% | +142.6% |
Combined 21-28 · n=49 · ROI +36.4% · avg CLV +0.3 pts · beat close 36%
Matchup
A.J. Ewing (LHB) vs Foster Griffin LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Foster Griffin's arsenal × how A.J. Ewing hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.7Plate Appearancesavg 4.7
Hitsavg 1.0
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 1.3
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.9
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-06 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=297 PA · 2026-05-12 → 2026-08-04
xStats luck
xwOBA0.321
wOBA0.318
delta−0.003 due
n=297 PA
Spray chart
194 balls in play since 2025Balls in play194
HR rate3.6%
Hard-hit (95+)43%
Avg exit velo89.0 mph
Ground ball47%
Line drive24%
Fly ball24%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to A.J. Ewing across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.