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Jorge Soler
DH · RHB · RHP · LAA
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0Plate Appearancesavg 4.0
Hitsavg 0.7
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.3
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 1.4
Walksavg 0.7
Splits
Career n=1,840 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-07-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.302
wOBA0.326
delta+0.024 hot
n=295 PA
Spray chart
365 balls in play since 2025Balls in play365
HR rate7.1%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo89.3 mph
Ground ball41%
Line drive26%
Fly ball25%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
-31.2%significant
n=295 games · 6/53 HR when active
+27.0%significant
n=319 games · 17/76 HR when active
+19.7%small sample
n=275 games · 9/41 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature· refreshed 2026-06-30
helping tonighthurting tonightnot in play tonight
3rd time through order vs starter
1.71× HR rate
185 yes / 136 no · 58 HRs
Platoon advantage (LHB-vs-RHP or RHB-vs-LHP)
+45%
47 yes / 153 no · 35 HRs
Rested (2+ days off)
+36%
23 yes / 297 no · 58 HRs
Opposing starter coming off >7 days rest
−31%
53 yes / 242 no · 56 HRs
HR-friendly park (factor ≥ 1.10)
+31%
34 yes / 286 no · 58 HRs
Vs. high-xwOBA pitcher (xwOBA allowed > .340)
+27%
76 yes / 243 no · 57 HRs
Batting 3-4-5 in the order
−27%
168 yes / 153 no · 58 HRs
// 21 more factors — small sample / no significant lift
Wind blowing out (≥10 mph, outdoor)
+23%
4 yes / 301 no · 56 HRs
Opposing starter's recent FB velo down ≥1 mph
+20%
41 yes / 234 no · 48 HRs
Summer game (Jun-Aug)
+17%
108 yes / 213 no · 58 HRs
Vs. short-leash starter (avg IP < 5.0)
+16%
140 yes / 173 no · 57 HRs
Vs. hittable pitcher (BAA > .260)
−16%
62 yes / 258 no · 57 HRs
Vs. high-contact-quality pitcher (avg EV allowed ≥ 89 mph)
−12%
152 yes / 168 no · 57 HRs
Vs. pull-fly-ball-prone pitcher (>18%)
−11%
211 yes / 107 no · 57 HRs
Cold month (Apr / Sep / Oct)
−9%
85 yes / 236 no · 58 HRs
Vs. fastball-heavy pitcher (FB% ≥ 55%)
+9%
169 yes / 139 no · 54 HRs
HR-suppressing park (factor ≤ 0.95)
+7%
99 yes / 221 no · 58 HRs
Vs. HR-prone pitcher (HR/PA > 3.8%)
+7%
57 yes / 261 no · 57 HRs
Vs. fly-ball-prone pitcher (FB% allowed > 40%)
−7%
43 yes / 275 no · 57 HRs
Playing at home
+5%
161 yes / 160 no · 58 HRs
Hot streak (L5 avg EV > career baseline)
−5%
110 yes / 206 no · 57 HRs
≥2 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
1 yes / 320 no · 58 HRs
No rest day (B2B or doubleheader)
neutral
233 yes / 87 no · 58 HRs
First-pitch temperature > 78°F
neutral
77 yes / 228 no · 56 HRs
≥1 career HR vs this pitcher
neutral
22 yes / 299 no · 58 HRs
Vs. barrel-prone pitcher (Barrel% allowed > 9%)
neutral
0 yes / 318 no · 57 HRs
Vs. low-whiff pitcher (whiff% < 22%)
neutral
0 yes / 0 no · 0 HRs
≥3 career HRs vs this pitcher
neutral
0 yes / 321 no · 58 HRs
// LIFT = P(HR | factor true) ÷ P(HR | factor false), Bayesian- shrunk with K=30 pseudo-games. Significance requires |lift − 1| ≥ 0.20 AND smaller cohort n ≥ 15. Cohort = top 60 HR hitters, last 2 seasons. Refreshed weekly. Green/red = the factor's effect on tonight's HR chance; gray = not in play tonight.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Jorge Soler across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.