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Rafael Devers
1B · LHB · RHP · SFG
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Rafael Devers, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 3-1 | 75% | +20.3% |
| A | 2-8 | 20% | -19.9% |
| B | 3-3 | 50% | +16.5% |
Combined 8-12 · n=20 · ROI -0.9% · avg CLV -8.0 pts · beat close 0%
Matchup
Rafael Devers (LHB) vs Kyle Freeland LHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Kyle Freeland's arsenal × how Rafael Devers hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.9Plate Appearancesavg 3.9
Hitsavg 0.6
Singlesavg 0.4
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 1.2
Home Runsavg 0.2
Strikeoutsavg 1.0
Walksavg 0.6
Tonight's lines
2026-08-14 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Splits
Career n=520 PA · 2026-03-20 → 2026-08-12
xStats luck
xwOBA0.332
wOBA0.347
delta+0.015 hot
n=519 PA
Spray chart
756 balls in play since 2025Balls in play756
HR rate7.8%
Hard-hit (95+)54%
Avg exit velo93.3 mph
Ground ball42%
Line drive21%
Fly ball32%
What kind of arm does he crush?
top 3 pitcher traits by |lift|
+60.6%significant
n=461 games · 52/205 HR when active
-34.4%significant
n=443 games · 8/71 HR when active
+52.0%significant
n=461 games · 25/86 HR when active
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Rafael Devers across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.