Luis Rengifo

LF · SHB · RHP · SDP

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

CLE

Starter

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

Stadium

Progressive Field

Model HR%

13.1%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+5.1% edgemodel 62% · grade A

Why: strong vs the Four-Seam (28% usage, .360 xwOBA).

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	62%	+5.1%	60%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	5%	-2.5%	20%	PASS

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Luis Rengifo, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	2-4	33%	-43.2%
A	1-2	33%	-41.6%
B	2-1	67%	+11.7%

Combined 5-7 · n=12 · ROI -29.1% · avg CLV -2.4 pts · beat close 0%

Matchup

Luis Rengifo (SHB) vs Tanner Bibee RHPfavors batterfavors pitcher

Tanner Bibee RHP · season · 149.1 IP · 641 BF

BAA

.245

wOBA

.325

SLG

.424

ISO

.179

WHIP

1.28

HR/9

1.69

BB%

7.0%

19.0%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

3.2%

HH%

39.3%

FB%

37.5%

HR/FB%

18.4%

Luis Rengifo hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	384-1523	.252	.370	.118	36	8.6%	18.1%
vs RHP	281-1135	.248	.356	.108	26	8.9%	17.6%

Pitch-type matchup

Tanner Bibee's arsenal × how Luis Rengifo hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spot

Tanner Bibee throws

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Whiff	xwOBA
TOPFour-Seam	28%	94.2	10%	.387
Cutter	23%	86.1	31%	.366
Changeup	16%	81.5	36%	.337
TOPSinker	15%	94.0	13%	.315
Sweeper	12%	83.0	30%	.319
Curveball	7%	78.9	21%	.357

Luis Rengifo vs each

Pitch	Seen	Whiff	xwOBA	EV
TOPFour-Seam	891	14%	.360	87.6
Cutter	334	25%	.296	83.0
Changeup	286	20%	.328	90.4
TOPSinker	239	15%	.355	89.4
Sweeper	182	25%	.285	83.4
Curveball	215	27%	.342	87.1

xwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

60%6/10 · L10 · avg 1.1

Our model62% OVER+5.1% edgeA

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0

Plate Appearancesavg 4.0

Hitsavg 1.1

Singlesavg 0.9

Doublesavg 0.0

Total Basesavg 1.7

Home Runsavg 0.2

Strikeoutsavg 0.9

Walksavg 0.3

Tonight's lines

2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	6%	—	+600	+0.8	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	62%	+5.1%	-132	-0.2	Sign in to save	Sign in
1.5	OVER	PASS	19%	+0.3%	+400	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in
2.5	OVER	PASS	3%	-1.6%	+2000	-0.6	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	5%	-2.5%	+1200	-0.6	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	3%	—	+338	+0.5	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	2%	—	+1000	+1.5	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	B	49%	—	+120	+0.0	Sign in to save	—
1.5	—	PASS	13%	—	+700	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	PASS	27%	—	+240	-0.9	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=1,666 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-08-12

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	384-1523	.252	.370	.118	56	8	36	143	18.1%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	103-388	.265	.412	.147	21	3	10	32	19.6%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	281-1135	.248	.356	.108	35	5	26	111	17.6%
Last 15 days recent form	11-43	.256	.326	.070	0	0	1	7	14.0%
vs Tanner Bibee tonight's starting pitcher	6-11	.545	.909	.364	1	0	1	0	9.1%
vs CLE tonight's opponent (full roster)	14-43	.326	.605	.279	3	0	3	1	11.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.282

wOBA0.280

delta−0.002 due

n=329 PA

Spray chart

669 balls in play since 2025· wind 4 mph blowing out

Balls in play669

HR rate2.1%

Hard-hit (95+)31%

Avg exit velo86.7 mph

Ground ball52%

Line drive25%

Fly ball18%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-08-14	4	1	0	0	3	1-for-4 · 3 K
2026-08-12	5	1	0	1	0	1-for-4 · 1 BB
2026-08-11	5	2	1	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 HR · 4 RBI · 1 R
2026-08-10	3	0	0	1	1	0-for-2 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-08-09	4	2	0	0	0	2-for-4 · 1 R
2026-08-08	3	0	0	1	0	0-for-2 · 1 BB
2026-08-07	4	0	0	0	1	0-for-4 · 1 K
2026-08-06	5	3	0	0	0	3-for-5
2026-08-05	3	0	0	0	3	0-for-3 · 3 K
2026-08-04	5	1	0	0	0	1-for-5 · 2 R · 1 SB

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Luis Rengifo across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.