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Ty France
1B · RHB · RHP · SDP
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Home Runs OVER 0.5+8.2% edgemodel 22% · grade S
Why: strong vs the Sinker (33% usage, .343 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Ty France, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 4-11 | 27% | -8.8% |
| A | 5-6 | 45% | -28.9% |
| B | 6-4 | 60% | +18.6% |
Combined 15-21 · n=36 · ROI -7.4% · avg CLV -2.4 pts · beat close 39%
Matchup
Ty France (RHB) vs Nolan McLean RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Nolan McLean's arsenal × how Ty France hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.0Plate Appearancesavg 4.0
Hitsavg 1.2
Singlesavg 0.8
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 1.8
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.7
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-16 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=370 PA · 2026-03-16 → 2026-08-15
xStats luck
xwOBA0.306
wOBA0.348
delta+0.042 hot
n=368 PA
Spray chart
632 balls in play since 2025Balls in play632
HR rate4.1%
Hard-hit (95+)47%
Avg exit velo91.0 mph
Ground ball46%
Line drive25%
Fly ball25%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Ty France across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.