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Ty France
1B · RHB · RHP · SDP
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+1.2% edgemodel 65% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Sinker (33% usage, .343 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Ty France, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 4-12 | 25% | -14.5% |
| A | 5-7 | 42% | -34.8% |
| B | 6-4 | 60% | +18.6% |
Combined 15-23 · n=38 · ROI -12.2% · avg CLV -3.7 pts · beat close 36%
Matchup
Ty France (RHB) vs Nolan McLean RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Nolan McLean's arsenal × how Ty France hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1Plate Appearancesavg 4.1
Hitsavg 1.1
Singlesavg 0.7
Doublesavg 0.3
Total Basesavg 1.7
Home Runsavg 0.1
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.3
Tonight's lines
2026-08-17 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=2,113 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-08-15
xStats luck
xwOBA0.306
wOBA0.348
delta+0.042 hot
n=368 PA
Spray chart
633 balls in play since 2025Balls in play633
HR rate4.1%
Hard-hit (95+)47%
Avg exit velo91.1 mph
Ground ball46%
Line drive25%
Fly ball25%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Ty France across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.