Alec Bohm

3B · RHB · RHP · PHI

// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP

Away @

WSH

Starter

Jackson Kent

Stadium

Nationals Park

Model HR%

13.8%

Model Hits%

59.3%

Tonight's top play

Hits OVER 0.5+5.5% edgemodel 76% · grade A

Verdict

one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?

Prop	Pick	Model	Edge	L10	Verdict
Hits	OVER 0.5	76%	+5.5%	80%	STRONG
Home Runs	OVER 0.5	13%	+0.7%	0%	CAUTION

Our track record

settled S/A/B picks on Alec Bohm, by confidence tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	ROI
S	9-7	56%	+3.1%
A	5-12	29%	-30.4%
B	7-14	33%	-34.3%

Combined 21-33 · n=54 · ROI -22.0% · avg CLV +1.3 pts · beat close 46%

Matchup

Alec Bohm (RHB) vs Jackson Kent favors batterfavors pitcher

Jackson Kent · season · 35.1 IP · 151 BF

BAA

.266

wOBA

.351

SLG

.391

ISO

.125

WHIP

1.62

HR/9

0.51

BB%

15.2%

17.9%

Whiff%

—

Barrel%

1.0%

HH%

41.6%

FB%

23.8%

HR/FB%

8.3%

Alec Bohm hitting

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	HR	BB%	K%
Season	604-2273	.266	.409	.143	62	7.8%	16.2%
vs ?HP	421-1619	.260	.379	.119	33	8.3%	17.4%

Hit-rate history

per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = under

OVER

0.5

Hits

80%8/10 · L10 · avg 1.1

Our model76% OVER+5.5% edgeA

Recent form

per-game over the last 10Avg PA4.1

Plate Appearancesavg 4.1

Hitsavg 1.1

Singlesavg 0.7

Doublesavg 0.4

Total Basesavg 1.5

Home Runsavg 0.0

Strikeoutsavg 0.5

Walksavg 0.6

Tonight's lines

2026-09-18 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)

Doubles + Triples

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	10%	—	+375	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Hits

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	A	76%	+5.5%	-233	+0.0	Sign in to save	Sign in

Home Runs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
BEST0.5	OVER	PASS	13%	+0.7%	+697	+0.2	Sign in to save	Sign in

RBIs

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	S	9%	—	+201	+0.5	Sign in to save	—

Singles

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	A	61%	—	-130	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Strikeouts

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
0.5	—	PASS	31%	—	-137	+0.0	Sign in to save	—

Total Bases

Line	Side	Grade	Model	Edge	Odds	Move	Save	Track
1.5	—	A	38%	—	+135	-0.7	Sign in to save	—

Same-game parlay

pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won't

Splits

Career n=2,466 PA · 2023-03-30 → 2026-09-13

Season Career

Split	H-AB	BA	SLG	ISO	2B	3B	HR	BB	K%
Career all history	604-2273	.266	.409	.143	127	6	62	193	16.2%
vs LHP left-handed pitching	183-654	.280	.482	.202	45	0	29	47	13.3%
vs RHP right-handed pitching	421-1619	.260	.379	.119	82	6	33	146	17.4%
Last 15 days recent form	11-37	.297	.541	.243	6	0	1	4	24.3%
@ Nationals Park tonight's stadium	160-2220	.072	.072	.000	0	0	0	320	17.6%

xStats luck

xwOBA0.325

wOBA0.317

delta−0.008 due

n=601 PA

Spray chart

877 balls in play since 2025

Balls in play877

HR rate3.0%

Hard-hit (95+)48%

Avg exit velo91.5 mph

Ground ball49%

Line drive26%

Fly ball22%

// PLAYER DNA

HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.

Last 10 games

Per-game outcomes — most recent first.

Date	PA	H	2B	HR	BB	K	Outcomes
2026-09-13	5	2	1	0	0	0	2-for-5 · 1 2B · 2 RBI · 1 R
2026-09-12	4	2	0	0	0	0	2-for-4
2026-09-11	5	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-4 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-10	3	1	1	0	0	0	1-for-3 · 1 2B
2026-09-08	4	1	1	0	0	2	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 R · 2 K
2026-09-07	3	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-2 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-06	4	1	1	0	0	1	1-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 K
2026-09-05	4	0	0	0	1	1	0-for-3 · 1 BB · 1 K
2026-09-04	4	2	1	1	0	1	2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 K
2026-09-01	5	2	1	0	1	2	2-for-4 · 1 2B · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB · 2 K

Nearest neighbors

Top 10 hitters most similar to Alec Bohm across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.

Comp data temporarily unavailable.