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Brandon Marsh
LF · LHB · RHP · PHI
// TONIGHT'S MATCHUP
Tonight's top play
Hits OVER 0.5+2.9% edgemodel 72% · grade PASS
Why: strong vs the Slider (28% usage, .415 xwOBA).
Verdict
one call per prop — does the model agree with recent reality?Our track record
settled S/A/B picks on Brandon Marsh, by confidence tier| Tier | Record | Hit rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| S | 7-3 | 70% | +16.8% |
| A | 7-10 | 41% | +25.9% |
| B | 3-16 | 16% | -67.5% |
Combined 17-29 · n=46 · ROI -14.7% · avg CLV -1.9 pts · beat close 32%
Matchup
Brandon Marsh (LHB) vs Zack Littell RHPfavors batterfavors pitcherPitch-type matchup
Zack Littell's arsenal × how Brandon Marsh hits it · since 2025 · TOP = batter's spotxwOBA = expected wOBA from exit velo + launch angle. Green favors the batter, red favors the pitcher.
Hit-rate history
per-game results vs the line · green = over · red = underRecent form
per-game over the last 10Avg PA3.6Plate Appearancesavg 3.6
Hitsavg 0.5
Singlesavg 0.5
Doublesavg 0.0
Total Basesavg 0.5
Home Runsavg 0.0
Strikeoutsavg 0.8
Walksavg 0.2
Tonight's lines
2026-08-04 · every line we grade — bet any, not just the headline · BEST = best edge · Move = open→now (CLV once settled)Same-game parlay
pick 2+ — we price the correlation the book won'tSplits
Career n=439 PA · 2026-03-15 → 2026-08-02
xStats luck
xwOBA0.310
wOBA0.335
delta+0.025 hot
n=438 PA
Spray chart
596 balls in play since 2025· wind 4 mph cross-windBalls in play596
HR rate4.7%
Hard-hit (95+)42%
Avg exit velo89.3 mph
Ground ball42%
Line drive27%
Fly ball27%
// PLAYER DNA
HR signature matrix hasn't been computed for this player yet. The weekly cron refreshes every Tuesday — check back if this player has joined the top-60 HR cohort.
Last 10 games
Per-game outcomes — most recent first.
Nearest neighbors
Top 10 hitters most similar to Brandon Marsh across 38 features. Comp Lab uses these for small-sample BvP matchups.
Comp data temporarily unavailable.